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  • If this turns in to a sustained bear market it will be interesting to see how the active fund managers get on.

    Their argument that passives do very well in rising markets whilst their skill comes in to its own in a falling one will be tested.
  • bostonerimus
    bostonerimus Posts: 5,617 Forumite
    Sixth Anniversary 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    edited 6 February 2018 at 3:08PM
    If this turns in to a sustained bear market it will be interesting to see how the active fund managers get on.

    Their argument that passives do very well in rising markets whilst their skill comes in to its own in a falling one will be tested.

    It's already been tested multiple times. My allocation is currently 75/25 is 3 trackers and I'll do nothing until it hits something like 65/35 when I'll probably rebalance back to my starting target allocation of 70/30.
    “So we beat on, boats against the current, borne back ceaselessly into the past.”
  • firestone wrote: »
    was not so much of an active v passive thing but hopefully some of my active managers will do better.But its more the point that its said people have bought into Bitcoin at a high point and will now lose if it never gets back there but its not really pointed out that trackers may not get back to their high.Yes its pointed out that investments can rise & fall but it could be the first point is glossed over with trackers

    It's true that Bitcoin and any other single company, industry, country may fall and take a long time or never reach that high again. It's another argument for being well diversified across sectors, countries, company size etc.
  • TBC15
    TBC15 Posts: 1,495 Forumite
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    If this turns in to a sustained bear market it will be interesting to see how the active fund managers get on.

    Their argument that passives do very well in rising markets whilst their skill comes in to its own in a falling one will be tested.


    What’s to test the passives have to sell. A manager can manage.
  • enthusiasticsaver
    enthusiasticsaver Posts: 16,060 Ambassador
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    What a load of fuss the media makes over a slight dip. If you are well diversified and investing according to your risk profile there is no need for the panic they seem to be inducing. Certainly not a crash.
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  • firestone
    firestone Posts: 520 Forumite
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    TBC15 wrote: »
    What’s to test the passives have to sell. A manager can manage.
    hopefully but unlike say a dip 30 or more years ago good as well as bad stocks are being sold due to passive funds following the index but that may give them long term bargains
  • Eco_Miser
    Eco_Miser Posts: 4,852 Forumite
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    TBC15 wrote: »
    What’s to test the passives have to sell. A manager can manage.
    Why do passives have to sell? They follow the market down, but keep exactly the same number of shares in each company on the index.
    Eco Miser
    Saving money for well over half a century
  • firestone
    firestone Posts: 520 Forumite
    500 Posts Third Anniversary Name Dropper
    It's true that Bitcoin and any other single company, industry, country may fall and take a long time or never reach that high again. It's another argument for being well diversified across sectors, countries, company size etc.
    i have no axe to grind as i am in passive & MA funds in my pension/ISA as well as active.But there is a trend for people to say with active funds that past performance is not a guarantee of the future but with trackers they say they will go up and down but assume that this will lead to a new high at some point as if it is a given(but not so much on here where people will talk of matching the market)
  • JohnRo
    JohnRo Posts: 2,887 Forumite
    Tenth Anniversary 1,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    What a load of fuss the media makes over a slight dip. If you are well diversified and investing according to your risk profile there is no need for the panic they seem to be inducing. Certainly not a crash.

    All part of the game imo, big money moves out, media love sensational headlines, sow the seeds of panic, big money waits for the carnage to unfold, then moves back in and profits.

    Bankers have been warning and increasingly positioning for the last couple of months or so. If you're a long term investor just shrug and let them get on with it. Average down if you can.
    'We don't need to be smarter than the rest; we need to be more disciplined than the rest.' - WB
  • TBC15
    TBC15 Posts: 1,495 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    Eco_Miser wrote: »
    Why do passives have to sell? They follow the market down, but keep exactly the same number of shares in each company on the index.


    Are you sure about that one?
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