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Pay ERC or hope for no rate rises before June 2018?

Hi there

I am approximately 15 months into a 24 month fixed rate mortgage with Nationwide. Current interest rate is 1.99% with a remaining balance of £320K. If I end the current deal before June 2018 then I will pay a 1% ERC.

I will be looking to remortgage and expect to take a five-year fix as soon as my current deal ends.

My calculations show a cost of £3.2K to end current deal early, vs. a potential cost of £7.5K (over five years) if I was to do nothing now and remortgaged in June 2018 but at that time five year fixed mortgage rates had increased by 0.5%.

With recent hints of potential rate rises in the near future, do you think that it would be worth paying the ERC now and fixing before any rate rises? Or cross my fingers and hope that there are no rate rises between now and when I reserve my next mortgage?

Finally, I have read somewhere that you can reserve a rate with First Direct six months before taking the mortgage. I can't find this on FD's website - does anyone know if this is correct and, if so, whether any other mortgage providers offer a similar facility to reserve a rate in advance?

Thanks

Stephan
«1

Comments

  • I suppose I also have to take into account that every two years I will be paying off approximately 5% of the value of the house so going down a tier in the LTV rates (will be remortgaging at 80% LTV).
  • You also have to factor in other costs if you're planning to remortgage - legal, valuation, product fees etc. I'm in the same boat, except my ERC would be 2%. No brainer for me, I will wait until next year.
  • Good point, although I know that I will be remortgaging in either scenario as my SVR would be like 4% or something, so these remortgage costs will likely be the same either way.
  • Thrugelmir
    Thrugelmir Posts: 89,546 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    If you've got £3,200 sloshing around. Then use the money to reduce your existing mortgage debt now.
  • Thanks but what is the basis of that advice?
  • dunstonh
    dunstonh Posts: 120,009 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    sh1202 wrote: »
    Thanks but what is the basis of that advice?

    This site is not authorised to give advice. Anything you read here is opinion and discussion. Not advice. You will see good opinions and bad opinions.

    Paying an ERC with 9 months to go seems a bit daft. The expectation is that we will probably see a 0.25% increase in that period. Chickenfeed. Plus, that expectation is already factored into current mortgage deals.

    The economy is borderline on being able to withstand a 0.25% increase. It is not going to jump up by large amounts.
    I am an Independent Financial Adviser (IFA). The comments I make are just my opinion and are for discussion purposes only. They are not financial advice and you should not treat them as such. If you feel an area discussed may be relevant to you, then please seek advice from an Independent Financial Adviser local to you.
  • Thanks very much. It does seem a bit daft so will give it a miss.

    Anyone know about reserving mortgage rates in advance and who offers that facility/how long in advance they can be reserved?
  • 0.25% increase would be break even anyway
  • sh1202 wrote: »
    Thanks very much. It does seem a bit daft so will give it a miss.

    Anyone know about reserving mortgage rates in advance and who offers that facility/how long in advance they can be reserved?
    Many allow you to do it 3 months ahead, but Ive also had it 6 months ahead, depending on the lender. Phone your lender and ask.
  • Thrugelmir
    Thrugelmir Posts: 89,546 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    sh1202 wrote: »
    Thanks but what is the basis of that advice?

    Ultimately the amount you owe determines the amount of interest you'll pay. This you can influence. While interest rate levels are only something that be addressed at the time that a product switch is possible.
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