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To Exchange if we Brexit

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Comments

  • BarleyGB
    BarleyGB Posts: 248 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 100 Posts Combo Breaker
    Why would the market fall if there is a Brexit?

    Why would Spain or any other country wish to remove wealthy/financially independent ex pats?

    Why would prices fall, the demand will still be there we're just simply not building enough houses and no ones saying immigration will just stop, its likely it'll still remain 100,000+ but be more controlled.
  • Nobbie1967
    Nobbie1967 Posts: 1,684 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    The good old ostrich syndrome combined with outright lies...

    Sad.

    (90% of economists agree on Brexit, by the way)


    90% of economists agreed that leaving Gold standard would be disastrous

    90% of economists agreed that leaving the ERM would be disastrous

    90% of economists agreed that not joining the Euro would be disastrous

    See any pattern here? Simply put, economists are as susceptible to 'group think' as any other group of experts. Saying that 90% of economist agree on something doesn't make it true, particularly when the event is unprecedented. There's a good reason it's called the dismal science.
  • Clutterfree
    Clutterfree Posts: 3,679 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Combo Breaker Photogenic
    Tbh, nobody KNOWS what will happen, it is all speculation.

    So back to the original question...
    OP what have you decided to do?
    :heart: Ageing is a privilege not everyone gets.
  • Miss_Samantha
    Miss_Samantha Posts: 1,197 Forumite
    Nobbie1967 wrote: »
    See any pattern here? Simply put, economists are as susceptible to 'group think' as any other group of experts. Saying that 90% of economist agree on something doesn't make it true, particularly when the event is unprecedented. There's a good reason it's called the dismal science.

    If you want to ignore everything, good for you.

    But then there is no informed debate to have in the same way that it isn't possible to have an informed debate with a cult.

    This is unfortunately the reason the national has been of dismal quality. People do not want to think as it is too complicated and prevents simplistic views.

    So, ignore everything, just believe in the cult leaders, all of your wildest dreams will come true. Or... perhaps the hangover will be brutal.
  • kaflinkle
    kaflinkle Posts: 137 Forumite
    90% of economists also didn't see 2008 coming either.

    Economists don't have a clue what's going to happen, simple reason, it's not happened before.

    I've seen models and forecasts until my eyes go buggy (I work in the research department of a rather large and well known investment bank). We can speculate but it's rather scenario based forecasts, ie what will happen if the pound drops below X amount, what happens if we can't secure a trade agreement with the EU, etc.

    At the end of the day, buy the bloody house as you do not know what is round the corner. If you don't buy it, someone else will and you could possibly miss out. People seem to think that if we Brexit, house prices are going to plummet immediately. I thought I would be in my last house for around 4-5 years, ended up due to circumstances that I didn't see coming, 10 years.
  • CTASL
    CTASL Posts: 18 Forumite
    edited 15 June 2016 at 6:06PM
    Welcome to MSE, where alot of !!!!!! opinions based on zero experience result in nothing but smug/sarcastic answers.

    In response to your actual request, I wouldn't expect to be able to negotiate any sort of reduction. No one has any idea what the likelyhood of brexit is, nor how an exit outcome would genuinely impact house prices. As others have mentioned, albeit with the aforementioned charm of this board; would you expect to pay anymore if we remain after the 23rd June? Of course not.

    If you're having doubts about the value of the property, re-consider the whole purchase, but brexit shouldn't be the reason.
  • marksoton
    marksoton Posts: 17,516 Forumite
    If you want to ignore everything, good for you.

    But then there is no informed debate to have in the same way that it isn't possible to have an informed debate with a cult.

    This is unfortunately the reason the national has been of dismal quality. People do not want to think as it is too complicated and prevents simplistic views.

    So, ignore everything, just believe in the cult leaders, all of your wildest dreams will come true. Or... perhaps the hangover will be brutal.

    Say again......?
  • Thrugelmir
    Thrugelmir Posts: 89,546 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    BarleyGB wrote: »
    Why would Spain or any other country wish to remove wealthy/financially independent ex pats?

    Locals don't like living in ghost towns for 50% of the year. Think Devon/Cornwall. Local industry naturally dies.....
  • Davesnave
    Davesnave Posts: 34,741 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    Thrugelmir wrote: »
    Locals don't like living in ghost towns for 50% of the year. Think Devon/Cornwall. Local industry naturally dies.....
    Yes, we'll be removing all those wealthy foreigners from Devon as soon as we get Brexit out of the way. They've really been holding up development in places like Exeter....
  • OP - you need to look at the bigger picture.

    A house price fall benefits all those moving UP the ladder & not down.

    As you say you are looking at moving in another 5 years, possibly to a bigger (more expensive house I presume?)

    Any house price movements on 23rd June will be caused my uncertainty by EU referendum immediately in the aftermath.

    Ignoring any political view on whatever way prices go as a result of the referendum, if the value of your house goes down in the next 5 years, the house that you are looking at buying will ALSO go down.

    In real terms you will be better off as you will lose 20% off the value of your current property but will also get a 20% discount on your onward purchase.

    I wouldn't worry about a price fall if I were you. Unless you are buying with a miniscule deposit & overstretching yourself.

    The number 1 rule with property is always to buy well, and somewhere that you will be happy to live in.

    All the best.


    PS. This is all of course very general and each property will be different!!
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