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Homeless Dept (Enfield) Video

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  • princeofpounds
    princeofpounds Posts: 10,396
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    Forumite
    If the figures from DWP quoted by the website above are to be trusted, then overall benefit fraud seems to stand at less than 2

    Based on rather preliminary research, I have found the following so far:

    - The calculation is based on identified or strongly-suspected fraud. It does not include undetected fraud, which means it probably significantly understates the true level of fraud. (The investigations are exceptionally basic - random spot checks of claimants' addresses and a quick interview)

    - The calculation does not include social housing fraud, which is one of the major categories people are concerned about.

    - The rate of fraud in some specific areas is high, in terms of the % of claims made being double-digit. In others, such as pensions, it's very low. Pensions are almost half the welfare budget.

    - The true overall impact is probably a multiple of the commonly-cited figure. That makes it a modest, rather than insignificant factor.

    - It's actually probably quite high in terms of the welfare budget ex-pensions, which means that the popular stereotype is probably not that unfair.

    - But because that part of the budget is lower than people think, the impact is not high in absolute terms. If there is a popular misconception, it's probably down to the impact of fraud rather than the prevalence of fraud.

    - It is still probably substantially lower than the commonly-cited figures for tax evasion and avoidance.

    - However, given tax avoidance is perfectly legal I have never really felt this was an apples-for-apples comparison. Evasion may well be similarly understated of course.
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