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What do you think mortgage deals will be like in two years time?

13»

Comments

  • Jhoney_2
    Jhoney_2 Posts: 1,198 Forumite
    More than 1% higher
    Glastoun wrote: »
    Whichever way we vote, we all get skewered anyway so what's the point?

    Whatever way we are skrewed, and we all get vetoed anyway - that's their point.:T
  • JimmyTheWig
    JimmyTheWig Posts: 12,199 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    Exactly 1% higher
    Past the half-way mark and I still don't think rates have gone up. [Obviously the base rate hasn't moved, but I don't think deals have gone up either, have they?]

    Do the people who voted more than 1% last year still think that rates will rise more then 1% in the next 10 months? Or, with hindsight, would you change your vote?
  • Dandytf
    Dandytf Posts: 5,073 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    More than 1% higher
    my 5 yr fixed 5%mtg ends August 20017

    When I purchased my flat initial rate was 6+% 3 yrs.

    I'm wishing 1.5% increase over next 3yrs...honestly think it will be much higher increase from 20016-20017- I can cope with 6% again (though earnings are lower past 5 yrs)
    Replenished CRA Reports.2020 Nissan Leaf 128-149 miles top charge. Savings depleted. VM Stream tv M250 Volted to M350 then M500 since returned to 1gb
  • Dandytf
    Dandytf Posts: 5,073 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    More than 1% higher
    Do the people who voted more than 1% last year still think that rates will rise more then 1% in the next 10 months? Or, with hindsight, would you change your vote?

    +1% next 10 moths -thats only .5% 2 quarters -possible .5 this year -then .5 or 1% increases each quarter 20016
    Replenished CRA Reports.2020 Nissan Leaf 128-149 miles top charge. Savings depleted. VM Stream tv M250 Volted to M350 then M500 since returned to 1gb
  • getmore4less
    getmore4less Posts: 46,882 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper I've helped Parliament
    Less than 1% higher
    I thought this was a new thread and still think <1% for the next 2 years.
  • JimmyTheWig
    JimmyTheWig Posts: 12,199 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    Exactly 1% higher
    Well, I've just renewed my deal which was the point of this thread...
    Gone from 2.49% to 1.79%.
    So rates have come _down_ by 0.7%. Who would have guessed that, two years ago!

    Well done to those 10 people saying "Less than 1% higher".
  • Dandytf
    Dandytf Posts: 5,073 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    More than 1% higher
    Well
    So rates have come _down_ by 0.7%. Who would have guessed that, two years ago!

    Well done to those 10 people saying "Less than 1% higher".
    ;t

    I didn't vote <1% higher.

    Though thanks for posting update,I'm planning on posting via this thread Jun 17 earliest I can swap from existing 5yr fixed.
    Replenished CRA Reports.2020 Nissan Leaf 128-149 miles top charge. Savings depleted. VM Stream tv M250 Volted to M350 then M500 since returned to 1gb
  • fewcloudy
    fewcloudy Posts: 617 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 500 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
    Less than 1% higher
    Didn't realise this was a ghost thread and just voted!
    But don't understand why you asked so long ago about something that was 2 years off in the future, what use was that to you?


    fc
    Feb 2008, 20year lifetime tracker with "Sproggit and Sylvester"... 0.14% + base for 2 years, then 0.99% + base for life of mortgage...base was 5.5% in 2008...but not for long. Credit to my mortgage broker
  • JimmyTheWig
    JimmyTheWig Posts: 12,199 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    Exactly 1% higher
    fewcloudy wrote: »
    But don't understand why you asked so long ago about something that was 2 years off in the future, what use was that to you?

    See post #10...
    Mortgage is in two parts.
    Part A is fixed for 4 years at 2.99%
    Part B is fixed for 2 years at 2.49%
    My plan is to take another 2 year deal for part B when this one runs out.

    I'm allowed to make overpayments of up to 10% of the balance in any calendar year. I'll be making an overpayment soon.
    But which part do I overpay?
    If my deal in 2 years time is a 3.49% fix (i.e. rates have gone up by exactly 1%) then it doesn't matter which part I overpay now - I'll either be saving 2.99% for 4 years if I overpay part B or I'll be saving 2.49% for 2 years then 3.49% for 2 years which averages out to 2.99% (possibly a little lower if you include compound interest, but I would guess that the difference is tiny).
    If the next rate is more than 3.49% then I'd be better off overpaying part B now.
    If the next rate is less than 3.49% then I'd be better off overpaying part A now.

    Personally, I think a 1% increase in two years is about right.

    Interesting that the consensus is with more than 1% increase, in which case I'd be better off overpaying the part with the lower current interest rate.
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