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Bubble Warning from senior economist

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Comments

  • Graham_Devon
    Graham_Devon Posts: 58,560 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    chucky wrote: »
    It's not very interesting at all it's a fact.

    The people that recouped their losses were probably the ones that took investment risks and definitely not the ones sitting on an Internet forum complaining that the global crisis and recovery wasn't distributed correctly.

    So, the wealthy, then.

    How do you assume people who don't have much money take investment risks?

    If you have the money in the first place to start investing and moving investments around to react to the macro economic conditions to make a profit, you are likely pretty well off in the first place.

    We need to stop confusing the normal saver with investors. I realise it makes your argument, but it's in no way realistic.
  • grizzly1911
    grizzly1911 Posts: 9,965 Forumite
    How are they being taken for a ride?

    They get to store their money in a bank, risk free, and they still get paid for it.

    Less than they used to get paid, but it's risk free and we've just come through the biggest financial crisis in a century.

    When the economy picks up, they will get paid more.



    A financial crisis that they weren't responsible for. They had simply been provident and endeavoured to plan for their future.

    Meanwhile they receive virtually nothing on their savings whilst Inflation at a personal level is high.



    Indeed.

    But the returns from cheap lending are all that's available risk free.

    Savers are welcome to invest in riskier assets if they wish.



    Savers are different to investors as you well know.

    How much risk do you think the average Joe Puinter pensioner should be taking?




    What, like the tax payer guarantees for the contents of savings accounts with banks?;)

    What like HTB with properties up to £600K.Benefit scroungers.
    "If you act like an illiterate man, your learning will never stop... Being uneducated, you have no fear of the future.".....

    "big business is parasitic, like a mosquito, whereas I prefer the lighter touch, like that of a butterfly. "A butterfly can suck honey from the flower without damaging it," "Arunachalam Muruganantham
  • blinko
    blinko Posts: 2,519 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    Ahhhh HTB a great way to begin the next crash so soon after. As the QE is withdrawn, the HTB is withdrawn and the interest rates rise. Thus mortgage payments start to bite those 95 percenters repossessions go up

    Crash round 2 ding ding
  • chucky
    chucky Posts: 15,170 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    So, the wealthy, then.
    No.

    If you bothered reading my post you might have got the point but as expected it's gone above your head.
    How do you assume people who don't have much money take investment risks?

    If you have the money in the first place to start investing and moving investments around to react to the macro economic conditions to make a profit, you are likely pretty well off in the first place.

    We need to stop confusing the normal saver with investors. I realise it makes your argument, but it's in no way realistic.
    Bizarre.

    How is this different to any other time in the history of the world?

    If you don't invest or take risks you don't get returns however small the investment is.
  • ILW
    ILW Posts: 18,333 Forumite
    chucky wrote: »
    No.

    If you bothered reading my post you might have got the point but as expected it's gone above your head.


    Bizarre.

    How is this different to any other time in the history of the world?

    If you don't invest or take risks you don't get returns however small the investment is.
    Seem to remember that before everything went crazy, savers used to deposit money and expect a small return, the banks then lent the money at a higher rate, using their skill and judgement to spread it around and thus mitigate the risk.
    Worked pretty well with banks not only competing for loan business, but also for deposits. Savers were not competing with government money.
    Simple idea really.
  • chucky
    chucky Posts: 15,170 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    ILW wrote: »
    Seem to remember that before everything went crazy, savers used to deposit money and expect a small return, the banks then lent the money at a higher rate, using their skill and judgement to spread it around and thus mitigate the risk.
    Worked pretty well with banks not only competing for loan business, but also for deposits. Savers were not competing with government money.
    Simple idea really.
    Maybe for the simple minded who only think that savings accounts are the only option for investors.
  • ILW
    ILW Posts: 18,333 Forumite
    chucky wrote: »
    Maybe for the simple minded who only think that savings accounts are the only option for investors.
    Many people are not in a position of looking into complex investments, and with only a small ammout of capital charges would probably make it not worthwhile. Does not mean they should be punished though.
  • chucky
    chucky Posts: 15,170 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    ILW wrote: »
    Many people are not in a position of looking into complex investments, and with only a small ammout of capital charges would probably make it not worthwhile. Does not mean they should be punished though.
    If you are admitting you are simple and don't understand that you can invest in anything else then I guess you are right.
  • wotsthat
    wotsthat Posts: 11,325 Forumite
    If you have the money in the first place to start investing and moving investments around to react to the macro economic conditions to make a profit, you are likely pretty well off in the first place.

    You won't thank me but Loughton Monkey has explained this many many times. If you spend 100% of income then when investment conditions improve and returns increase you'll miss out because a large % of F all is still F all. You need to save and save early.

    You don't need to be 'pretty well off' to have money to invest either. Very few people need to spend 100% of their income in the UK. I challenge anyone to take a look at their finances and not be able to identify how they could increase their savings ratio now or might have done so in the past with minimal impact on lifestyle. Yes they might choose to spend 100% income but that's free will - no point moaning on their behalf on an internet forum.

    Remember no investments/ savings = no investment return. Guaranteed.
  • ILW
    ILW Posts: 18,333 Forumite
    chucky wrote: »
    If you are admitting you are simple and don't understand that you can invest in anything else then I guess you are right.

    It's not all about me.
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