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Q3 gdp +0.8%
Comments
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            On the relationship between base rates and consumer borrowing rates, McHamish and I had a disagreement, he was arguing both that sensitivity to rates would make any increases small and slow and also that as rates increased margins would fall. I suggest that one or other of these can be true but not both smultaneously - if falling margins result in changes in base rates fail to take spending power out of the economy then base rates will rise more.!
 Legacy lending will move with base rates as per terms, there's enough of this out there that initial rises will be tentative and cautious.
 New lending spreads will narrow, as competition returns to the market with increased volume of lending.
 Don't think anyone has suggested that banks will spontaneously reduce spreads on existing loan books, you'll have to remortgage to get the new lower deals, so the transmission mechanism remains intact over the short term.... but consumers will be able to access lower cost funding when existing high spread deals become unpalatable.“The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.
 Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”
 -- President John F. Kennedy”0
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            Time to bump up IRs then.
 Why, I did't notice the unemployment rate dipping to/below 7%?'Just think for a moment what a prospect that is. A single market without barriers visible or invisible giving you direct and unhindered access to the purchasing power of over 300 million of the worlds wealthiest and most prosperous people' Margaret Thatcher0
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