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Inflation at 2.7%, why do savings need 3.8% to beat it?

2

Comments

  • Glen_Clark wrote: »
    There is another factor.
    Politicians have now drawn up 2 different rates of inflation;
    RPI - the higher one they use to calculate their own index linked pensions.
    CPI - the lower one they use for us

    These politicians are good at figures when it affects themselves.
  • 2010
    2010 Posts: 5,587 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    There is of course your own personal inflation, which is the real inflation.
  • jimjames
    jimjames Posts: 19,279 Forumite
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    2010 wrote: »
    There is of course your own personal inflation, which is the real inflation.

    And that differs for everyone. The headline figure is only an average.

    So if you spend a lot on heating for example and prices go up 10% then your rate will be much more than 2.7%
    Remember the saying: if it looks too good to be true it almost certainly is.
  • kidmugsy
    kidmugsy Posts: 12,709 Forumite
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    The man who introduced the CPI to the UK was Gordon Brown. Nuff said.
    Free the dunston one next time too.
  • theGrinch
    theGrinch Posts: 3,133 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts
    inflation is different for different people
    "enough is a feast"...old Buddist proverb
  • Linton
    Linton Posts: 18,558 Forumite
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    prowla wrote: »
    Does anybody believe the published inflation figures?


    Yes. Unlike, I guess, those posters who are convinced the whole thing is a devious plot I have detailed expenditure figures going back nearly 15 years.

    The increase in my "basic" expenditure which includes food, clothing, utilities, fixed and mobile phone usage, broadband access, insurance, and car insurance, maintenance and tax since 2003 (the earliest date CPI figures are available) is lower than would be expected from the CPI figures. During that period my standard of living hasnt changed.
  • Linton wrote: »
    Yes. Unlike, I guess, those posters who are convinced the whole thing is a devious plot I have detailed expenditure figures going back nearly 15 years.

    The increase in my "basic" expenditure which includes food, clothing, utilities, fixed and mobile phone usage, broadband access, insurance, and car insurance, maintenance and tax since 2003 (the earliest date CPI figures are available) is lower than would be expected from the CPI figures. During that period my standard of living hasnt changed.
    I was going to make my own personal inflation basket but even that's not necessarily the "correct" rate of inflation. Maybe your tastes have changed and you eat more or less expensive food types now. Maybe you moved house and one was more expensive to heat than the other, or maybe your kids have moved out and you use half as much water. Maybe your broadband is faster than it was, maybe your mobile can now replace your camera and map books. Maybe your no claims bonus has been building up during those ten years and maybe your car has changed. So I decided not to bother with my own basket, my tastes and circumstances change so I wouldn't be able to compare like with like.
  • BobQ
    BobQ Posts: 11,181 Forumite
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    kidmugsy wrote: »
    The man who introduced the CPI to the UK was Gordon Brown. Nuff said.

    But he did that to preserve RPI. It was supposed to be the index that was comparable to other nations measures where housing costs (a significant part of RPI) were generally not included or were less significant because they were not obsessed with home ownership.
    Few people are capable of expressing with equanimity opinions which differ from the prejudices of their social environment. Most people are incapable of forming such opinions.
  • ColdIron
    ColdIron Posts: 10,332 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Hung up my suit! Name Dropper
    BobQ wrote: »
    But he did that to preserve RPI. It was supposed to be the index that was comparable to other nations measures where housing costs (a significant part of RPI) were generally not included or were less significant because they were not obsessed with home ownership.
    But surely if the UK is obsessed with home ownership it then follows that RPI is an accurate yardstick to gauge our inflation

    CPI is just a fabrication that measures nothing meaningful but is a useful metric to peg spending and, more damagingly, future spending projections against
  • prowla
    prowla Posts: 14,354 Forumite
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    My eating habits have changes and I watch the price of things I buy. I've cut out most of the more expensive items.

    According to Wiki, the CPI has more than doubled since 1988 (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:United_Kingdom_CPI,_1988_to_present.svg).

    The CPI takes the geometric mean of prices rather than the arithmetic mean, which usually gives a lower number.

    Including things like broadband and mobile phones in it may not be a fair item, as they would have been high priced and only available to a select few initially, and then acceptance would be much wider as the price dropped. Therefore, they would likely represent a price increase to many people as they would not have even had one earlier in their development.

    Energy and many staple foods have gone up enormously in the past few years, and anything which does not reflect that is fudging the figures.
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