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Bank of England upgrades economic growth forecasts

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Comments

  • Graham_Devon
    Graham_Devon Posts: 58,560 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    wotsthat wrote: »
    I bet the peak of 5% was less than you expected too.

    Actually, no. I'm on record on here stating it would likely fall when it reached 5.2%.

    It went higher for a couple of months and then fell.

    I'm not pretending to be a genius, as I'm not. But if you are going throw all this nonsense my way I may aswell back my corner.
  • ILW
    ILW Posts: 18,333 Forumite
    Kennyboy66 wrote: »
    seems somewhat fanciful considering the £4 trillion number you quoted includes shares held directly and in pensions not to mention gilts and bonds.

    Are you suggesting that higher interest rates would increase the value of shares ?
    I was just referring to inflation, not IRs.
  • wotsthat
    wotsthat Posts: 11,325 Forumite
    Actually, no. I'm on record on here stating it would likely fall when it reached 5.2%.

    It went higher for a couple of months and then fell.

    I'm not pretending to be a genius, as I'm not. But if you are going throw all this nonsense my way I may aswell back my corner.

    So it's fair to say that 5.2% was a blip and in reality 3.0% would be a better figure to use when talking about King's governorship as a whole.

    i.e. above target, still very low historically and somewhat less than you expected.
  • Kennyboy66
    Kennyboy66 Posts: 939 Forumite
    ILW wrote: »
    I was just referring to inflation, not IRs.

    but modest inflation tends to be beneficial for shares.

    The last thing the stock market wants is zero inflation - or even worse falling prices.
    US housing: it's not a bubble - Moneyweek Dec 12, 2005
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