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US economy shrinks a surprise 0.1% in fourth quarter

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-21261323
The US economy unexpectedly shrank at an annualised rate of 0.1% in the fourth quarter of 2012, initial official estimates indicate.

If confirmed, it would be the first contraction logged by the US economy since the 2009 global recession.

Analysts on Wall Street expected the figure to be 1.1%. Ouch!
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Comments

  • Rinoa
    Rinoa Posts: 2,701 Forumite
    First France is bankrupt and now US GDP falls.

    It's all Cameron and Osborne's doing.
    If I don't reply to your post,
    you're probably on my ignore list.
  • worldtraveller
    worldtraveller Posts: 14,013 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    edited 30 January 2013 at 3:23PM
    Ouch indeed, but it show's, yet again, that the economists & analysts are generally talking out of their backsides, are pretty clueless, and have been especially so over the past few years since the global financial crisis started.
    There is a pleasure in the pathless woods, There is a rapture on the lonely shore, There is society, where none intrudes, By the deep sea, and music in its roar: I love not man the less, but Nature more...
  • DaddyBear
    DaddyBear Posts: 1,208 Forumite
    Proof that rising house prices do not lead to economic recovery.
  • Mallotum_X
    Mallotum_X Posts: 2,591 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture Combo Breaker
    They were about 1% out, which given the size and complexity of what they are measuring is a pretty good estimate. anything +-2% is basically flat line.
  • wotsthat
    wotsthat Posts: 11,325 Forumite
    Mallotum_X wrote: »
    They were about 1% out, which given the size and complexity of what they are measuring is a pretty good estimate. anything +-2% is basically flat line.

    It's quite a poor estimate when you consider that the experts were making their predictions only 24-48 hours before the release.

    Most people who contributed to the MSE predictions thread for UK 2012 GDP growth were within +/- 2% a full year ahead of time.
  • Wookster
    Wookster Posts: 3,795 Forumite
    Bang! There goes the theory that state spending is the answer... Or that it's going to be a quick and easy recovery.
  • Graham_Devon
    Graham_Devon Posts: 58,560 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    DaddyBear wrote: »
    Proof that rising house prices do not lead to economic recovery.

    Ha ha, good point!
  • Linton
    Linton Posts: 18,540 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Hung up my suit!
    Rinoa wrote: »
    First France is bankrupt and now US GDP falls.

    It's all Cameron and Osborne's doing.


    Dont be silly. Everybody knows its Gordon Brown who should be blamed.
  • lvader
    lvader Posts: 2,579 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    So no austerity, tax rebates and loads of QE and they still have negative growth? What was labour saying again?
  • Thrugelmir
    Thrugelmir Posts: 89,546 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    lvader wrote: »
    So no austerity, tax rebates and loads of QE and they still have negative growth? What was labour saying again?

    No one if facing up to the real issue "DEBT"

    The true extent of the GFC is still to filtering through. Despite the interventions of the central banks. Which appears to be little more than applying sticking plaster.
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