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Census 2011: UK at 63.1 million, up 4 million in 10 years

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Comments

  • Graham_Devon
    Graham_Devon Posts: 58,560 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Hmmmm. Seems like they might be counted.

    They are counted in the real figures. Hence new homes is around 50% more than what Hamish waffles out all over the forum.

    It's not THAT far behind the extra 3.7m people, especially considering co-habitation.

    For instance, 208,000 dwellings were completed between 2007-8 alone.

    I have just specifically stated "not in Hamish's figures"...not that they are not counted in the proper figures. In 2009 (or 10, can't remember), osmehting like 160,000 dwellings were completed. Hamish will have you believe it's under100k as he only looks at new builds.
  • IveSeenTheLight
    IveSeenTheLight Posts: 13,322 Forumite
    edited 16 July 2012 at 2:46PM
    They are counted in the real figures. Hence new homes is around 50% more than what Hamish waffles out all over the forum.

    It's not THAT far behind the extra 3.7m people, especially considering co-habitation.

    For instance, 208,000 dwellings were completed between 2007-8 alone.

    I have just specifically stated "not in Hamish's figures"...not that they are not counted in the proper figures. In 2009 (or 10, can't remember), osmehting like 160,000 dwellings were completed. Hamish will have you believe it's under100k as he only looks at new builds.

    New-Builds make up the bulk according to the data

    Looking at the latest release: -
    http://www.communities.gov.uk/publications/corporate/statistics/netsupplyhousing201011

    Nett supply was

    Key points from the latest release are:
    • Annual housing supply in England amounted to 121,200 net additional dwellings in 2010-11. This is a 6 per cent decrease on the 128,680 net additional homes supplied in the previous year, and compares with a 23 per cent fall between 2008-09 and 2009-10.
    • The 121,200 net additions figure for 2010-11 is composed of 117,700 new build homes, 5,050 additional homes resulting from conversions, 11,540 additional homes resulting from change of use, 1,810 other gains and a loss of 14,890 homes through demolitions.

    Also interesting that the trend is still decreasing despit nett population increasing.
    :wall:
    What we've got here is....... failure to communicate.
    Some men you just can't reach.
    :wall:
  • IveSeenTheLight
    IveSeenTheLight Posts: 13,322 Forumite
    edited 16 July 2012 at 2:53PM
    For instance, 208,000 dwellings were completed between 2007-8 alone.

    It's interesting that you choose the peak of nett housing supply in the last decade.

    http://www.communities.gov.uk/documents/housing/xls/118.xls

    ENGLAND
    2000 - 2001 132,000
    2001 - 2002 130,510
    2002 - 2003 143,680
    2003 - 2004 154,770
    2004 - 2005 169,450
    2005 - 2006 186,380
    2006 - 2007 198,770
    2007 - 2008 207,370
    2008 - 2009 166,570
    2009 - 2010 128,680
    2010 - 2011 121,200

    11 Year total =
    1,739,380

    Average = 158,125


    How did that compare to population increases over those 11 years?
    :wall:
    What we've got here is....... failure to communicate.
    Some men you just can't reach.
    :wall:
  • Graham_Devon
    Graham_Devon Posts: 58,560 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    It's interesting that you choose the peak of nett housing supply in the last decade.

    It's not really that interesting. Theres no conspircay theory. It was simply the easiest data to get without reading through 10's of pages of PDFs.
  • Graham_Devon
    Graham_Devon Posts: 58,560 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Oh good lord, wish I'd never said anything! It's turned into the pensions thread within seconds.
  • HAMISH_MCTAVISH
    HAMISH_MCTAVISH Posts: 28,592 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    edited 16 July 2012 at 2:56PM
    They are counted in the real figures. Hence new homes is around 50% more than what Hamish waffles out all over the forum. .

    Oh really....

    Lets take a look at the net additions figures then.

    "The 121,200 net additions figure for 2010-11 is composed of 117,700 new build homes, 5,050 additional homes resulting from conversions, 11,540 additional homes resulting from change of use, 1,810 other gains and a loss of 14,890 homes through demolitions."

    In that same period of time..... Population grew by 470,000 and around 270,000 new households were created.

    Even with your cherry picked 208,000 figure from 2007/8 at the absolute peak of building in the last decade, it wasn't enough to cover the average new households formed which averaged 235,000 per year for that decade.

    So for one year out of ten, at the absolute peak of building, it got within 25,000 houses of need. And for the other years, it was woefully short.

    And today, it's less than half the housing need.

    Well done Graham.

    Just, well done.
    “The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.

    Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”

    -- President John F. Kennedy”
  • IveSeenTheLight
    IveSeenTheLight Posts: 13,322 Forumite
    Oh good lord, wish I'd never said anything! It's turned into the pensions thread within seconds.

    Just understand your facts or be prepared for someone to question them.
    :wall:
    What we've got here is....... failure to communicate.
    Some men you just can't reach.
    :wall:
  • Carl31
    Carl31 Posts: 2,616 Forumite
    Ninth Anniversary 1,000 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    so where do all these extra people, that we don't have houses for, live?
  • IveSeenTheLight
    IveSeenTheLight Posts: 13,322 Forumite
    They share.
    They stay at home with their parents

    The population is 63 million, hence the additional per year is a small percentage, however it's a slow squeeze that's been happening for a number of years.
    :wall:
    What we've got here is....... failure to communicate.
    Some men you just can't reach.
    :wall:
  • DpchMd
    DpchMd Posts: 540 Forumite
    Oh good lord, wish I'd never said anything! It's turned into the pensions thread within seconds.

    Why do you continue to make these baseless statements?

    It's impossible to disagree with Hamish's point in the OP, yet you have to try to find some frivolous baseless argument to counter his logical conclusion.
    "Beware of little expenses. A small leak will sink a great ship." - Benjamin Franklin
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