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Cyprus

Two interesting facts:

1) Cyprus's banking assets are worth 835 percent of GDP,
2) Cyprus's second largest bank looks like it is about to enter "special measures" aka it is (possibly) bankrupt.

Just another interesting banking crises in the making. Looks like we are going to get another Iceland any day.
“The ideas of debtor and creditor as to what constitutes a good time never coincide.”
― P.G. Wodehouse, Love Among the Chickens
«1

Comments

  • Thrugelmir
    Thrugelmir Posts: 89,546 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    Write down of Greek government debt is a primary cause of the difficulties.

    A couple of billion of capital would correct the situation.

    So hardly the same problem that faces the main Europeans banks.
  • tomterm8
    tomterm8 Posts: 5,892 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture Combo Breaker
    On an international scale it might be small, on a local scale the estimates for this single bailout is 10% of GDP. I suspect that it may be possible that it isn't the only bank in trouble.

    It is like Iceland: not very significant internationally, but something interesting to watch as a case study.

    I can't see cyprus being able to deal with its problems on its own.
    “The ideas of debtor and creditor as to what constitutes a good time never coincide.”
    ― P.G. Wodehouse, Love Among the Chickens
  • Thrugelmir
    Thrugelmir Posts: 89,546 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    tomterm8 wrote: »
    On an international scale it might be small, on a local scale the estimates for this single bailout is 10% of GDP. I suspect that it may be possible that it isn't the only bank in trouble.

    It is like Iceland: not very significant internationally, but something interesting to watch as a case study.

    I can't see cyprus being able to deal with its problems on its own.

    Part of EU. So like Eire banks will be bailed out. Will merely accelerate credit contraction in Western Europe.
  • michaels
    michaels Posts: 29,254 Forumite
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    I'm sure the Turks wouldn't mind mounting a rescue...
    I think....
  • Thrugelmir
    Thrugelmir Posts: 89,546 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    michaels wrote: »
    I'm sure the Turks wouldn't mind mounting a rescue...

    Appear to have enough problems of their own.
  • Generali
    Generali Posts: 36,411 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    tomterm8 wrote: »
    Two interesting facts:

    1) Cyprus's banking assets are worth 835 percent of GDP,
    2) Cyprus's second largest bank looks like it is about to enter "special measures" aka it is (possibly) bankrupt.

    Just another interesting banking crises in the making. Looks like we are going to get another Iceland any day.

    Watch for bailouts from Russian 'businessmen'. A lot of Russian business including pretty much all OTC share dealing is done via Cyprus.
  • Thrugelmir
    Thrugelmir Posts: 89,546 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    tomterm8 wrote: »
    1) Cyprus's banking assets are worth 835 percent of GDP,

    When RBS crashed. It was 250% of UK GDP.

    At end of 2011 despite 3 years of contraction is still a 100% of GDP.

    So UK banks collectively have a huge exposure.
  • vivatifosi
    vivatifosi Posts: 18,746 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Mortgage-free Glee! PPI Party Pooper
    Generali wrote: »
    Watch for bailouts from Russian 'businessmen'. A lot of Russian business including pretty much all OTC share dealing is done via Cyprus.

    Interesting... Do you know the history of that Gen? I'm always fascinated by the circumstances that lead to such oddities.
    Please stay safe in the sun and learn the A-E of melanoma: A = asymmetry, B = irregular borders, C= different colours, D= diameter, larger than 6mm, E = evolving, is your mole changing? Most moles are not cancerous, any doubts, please check next time you visit your GP.
  • Wookster
    Wookster Posts: 3,795 Forumite
    vivatifosi wrote: »
    Interesting... Do you know the history of that Gen? I'm always fascinated by the circumstances that lead to such oddities.

    McMa f i a by Misha Glenny. Really excellent book.
  • vivatifosi
    vivatifosi Posts: 18,746 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Mortgage-free Glee! PPI Party Pooper
    Wookster wrote: »
    McMa f i a by Misha Glenny. Really excellent book.

    Thanks Wookster. I have his latest on my bookshelf at the moment, will have a crack at that after.
    Please stay safe in the sun and learn the A-E of melanoma: A = asymmetry, B = irregular borders, C= different colours, D= diameter, larger than 6mm, E = evolving, is your mole changing? Most moles are not cancerous, any doubts, please check next time you visit your GP.
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