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UK is back in recession, says OECD

worldtraveller
worldtraveller Posts: 14,013 Forumite
Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
edited 29 March 2012 at 11:06AM in Debate House Prices & the Economy
The UK has slipped back into recession after the economy contracted in the first quarter of 2012, an influential think-tank warned today.

Gross domestic product (GDP) - a broad measure for the total economy - is on course to have fallen by about 0.1% in the three months to the end of March, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) said.

The gloomy forecast comes after official figures revealed the economy contracted by 0.3% in the final quarter of 2011, which was worse than the previous estimate of a 0.2% fall.

A decline in the first three months of 2012 will mean the UK is officially back in recession, which is defined as two quarters in a row of declines.


The Independent

Shocker! :whistle: However, we won't know for sure "technically" until we get final Q1 2012 GDP figures, but, nonetheless, it's surely going to be close whatever way you look at it and the odd 0.1% either way is still recession in my mind.
There is a pleasure in the pathless woods, There is a rapture on the lonely shore, There is society, where none intrudes, By the deep sea, and music in its roar: I love not man the less, but Nature more...
«134

Comments

  • Graham_Devon
    Graham_Devon Posts: 58,560 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Double dip?

    Who'd have thunk it.
  • wotsthat
    wotsthat Posts: 11,325 Forumite
    Party time in the South-West tonight?
  • Wookster
    Wookster Posts: 3,795 Forumite
    Rather than believe the gloom and doom, I'll wait for the actual statistics for initial estimates.
  • Graham_Devon
    Graham_Devon Posts: 58,560 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    edited 29 March 2012 at 2:58PM
    wotsthat wrote: »
    Party time in the South-West tonight?

    No point. Someone's seemingly been glugging all the bitter.
  • StevieJ
    StevieJ Posts: 20,174 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Shocker! :whistle: However, we won't know for sure "technically" until we get final Q1 2012 GDP figures, but, nonetheless, it's surely going to be close whatever way you look at it and the odd 0.1% either way is still recession in my mind.

    That will be in about 2-3 years then :)
    'Just think for a moment what a prospect that is. A single market without barriers visible or invisible giving you direct and unhindered access to the purchasing power of over 300 million of the worlds wealthiest and most prosperous people' Margaret Thatcher
  • ruggedtoast
    ruggedtoast Posts: 9,819 Forumite
    Over on hpc.co.uk they are celebrating this news. They are excited!
  • Did we ever leave the last recession?
    Blessed are the cracked for they are the ones that let in the light
    C.R.A.P R.O.L.L.Z. Member #35 Butterfly Brain + OH - Foraging Fixers
    Not Buying it 2015!
  • Graham_Devon
    Graham_Devon Posts: 58,560 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    US have just had their Q4 figures confirmed at 3% growth.
  • ruggedtoast
    ruggedtoast Posts: 9,819 Forumite
    US have just had their Q4 figures confirmed at 3% growth.

    They have borrowed their way to growth, whereas we have paid back our way to recession.
  • ILW
    ILW Posts: 18,333 Forumite
    They have borrowed their way to growth, whereas we have paid back our way to recession.

    Big factor is that in the US, a firm can virtually hire and fire at will.
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