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  • vacheron
    vacheron Posts: 2,490 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    edited 8 February 2012 at 8:18AM
    I'm not touching it with the proverbial 10 foot pole.

    In the 20 odd years I've been online I've progressed through BBS/IRC > AOL Chat > Yahoo Groups > ICQ > MSN to name but a few. At the time each one seemed like a communications revolution and now most are just shadows of their former selves (if they even continue to exist at all).

    I have had a Facebook account but deacitvated it years ago as it was far to bloated and cluttered for my liking. Though I can see why it will appeal to those new to online social networks.

    All it takes is for someone to come up with another social site with a new twist that the users like and they will flock there in their millions almost overnight. None of the groups I've used in the past saw their demise coming, and neither will Mr Zuckerberg and his new co-owners.

    As others have said it may be worth a punt to catch any initial hysteria, and maybe a couple of well timed shorts on the way down, but I certainly don't expect any gains in the long haul.
    • The rich buy assets.
    • The poor only have expenses.
    • The middle class buy liabilities they think are assets.
  • blinko
    blinko Posts: 2,520 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    vacheron wrote: »
    I'm not touching it with the proverbial 10 foot pole.

    In the 20 odd years I've been online I've progressed through BBS/IRC > AOL Chat > Yahoo Groups > ICQ > MSN to name but a few. At the time each one seemed like a communications revolution and now most are just shadows of their former selves (if they even continue to exist at all).

    I have had a Facebook account but deacitvated it years ago as it was far to bloated and cluttered for my liking. Though I can see why it will appeal to those new to online social networks.

    All it takes is for someone to come up with another social site with a new twist that the users like and they will flock there in their millions almost overnight. None of the groups I've used in the past saw their demise coming, and neither will Mr Zuckerberg and his new co-owners.

    As others have said it may be worth a punt to catch any initial hysteria, and maybe a couple of well timed shorts on the way down, but I certainly don't expect any gains in the long haul.
    I don't think that facebook will be knocked off that easily. Its very well entrenched.

    It will end up similar to amazon and have the most market share.

    THe question is, is there any growth left in facebook ?

    The revenues and margains are impressive, like with most internet IPO's its a nightmare to value

    I think keeping a eye on for a short but then again with so much buzz, surely it will have to go up as every tom !!!!!! and harry buy in regardless of valuation !
  • sabretoothtigger
    sabretoothtigger Posts: 10,036 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Photogenic Combo Breaker
    edited 8 February 2012 at 4:03PM
    Growth would come with world growth, they can justify the PE if they were to greatly expand in Asia but I dont think they will be as successful in non latin script based languages & cultures.

    I think the Japanese have something else they prefer instead for example

    l7USw.png
  • Ark_Welder
    Ark_Welder Posts: 1,878 Forumite
    I think the Japanese have something else they prefer instead for example

    Romaji? ;)
    Living for tomorrow might mean that you survive the day after.
    It is always different this time. The only thing that is the same is the outcome.
    Portfolios are like personalities - one that is balanced is usually preferable.



  • sabretoothtigger
    sabretoothtigger Posts: 10,036 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Photogenic Combo Breaker
    edited 8 February 2012 at 5:52PM
    This blog talks about it. Facebook forces them to use their real names but Japanese are not comfortable preferring fantasy pseudonyms
    (im not a real tigger :p)
    and so on. FB is only undervalued if it really were global

    http://tokyokawaiietc.com/archives/2407

    http://www.penn-olson.com/2011/06/20/problem-with-facebook-in-japan/
  • StevieJ
    StevieJ Posts: 20,174 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    icon13.gif from me too.
    'Just think for a moment what a prospect that is. A single market without barriers visible or invisible giving you direct and unhindered access to the purchasing power of over 300 million of the worlds wealthiest and most prosperous people' Margaret Thatcher
  • ses6jwg
    ses6jwg Posts: 5,381 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    I can't actually think of a worse investment
  • blinko
    blinko Posts: 2,520 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    when are they actrually floating this monster ?
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