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Rents Up Again

13

Comments

  • Really2
    Really2 Posts: 12,397 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    edited 18 November 2011 at 1:30PM
    IronWolf wrote: »
    Think you need to work on your maths, its about 2.4% annualised.

    I thought about 2.5% was about 2.4%? ;)
  • IronWolf
    IronWolf Posts: 6,462 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    1.02^12 = 1.268 = 2.68%

    That's 2% compounded = 26.8%

    0.2% compounded is 2.4%
    Faith, hope, charity, these three; but the greatest of these is charity.
  • Really2
    Really2 Posts: 12,397 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    joguest wrote: »
    The fact that rents aren't rising at a faster rate than wage inflation means that it is having no effect on peoples' ability to pay the rent (unlike rising costs elsewhere)..

    Any proof of that, the annualised guestimate was on today's figure, much lower than actual YOY. I think wage inflation is around 2%.
  • A number of factors drive up demand for rented accommodation:

    - increased minimum requirements for a deposit / down payment for house buyers
    - less families eligible for a mortgage
    - immigration
    - consumer expectations that house prices in Britain will drop.

    Rents will go up further for a while...
  • joguest wrote: »
    According to LSL, rents are up a whopping ~6.5% over the period of the last three years, which is almost exactly equal to wage inflation in the economy .

    Spinning like a top there jo...

    6.5% in the last three years eh?

    Let me guess, 4.1% in the last year, 2% or so the year before, and almost nothing the previous year.

    So rent increases are accelerating.

    Good to know.;)
    “The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.

    Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”

    -- President John F. Kennedy”
  • wotsthat
    wotsthat Posts: 11,325 Forumite
    joguest wrote: »
    Fair point - the press release is quite balanced. It's the BBC and journalists from other news outlets that appear to like sensationalising the rising rent 'story'.

    Although I've not seen anything in the media as sensational as this yet.......
    joguest wrote: »
    What is hilarious is that LSL are putting out 'press releases' that are depserately trying to ramp rental prices in the hope that it will instill fear in first-time buyers and increase their desire to purchase, and to appeal to the blind greed of speculators thinking of buying into BTL. The funny bit is that rents only rose by 0.2% despite their best attempts to talk up the rental market over the last few months.

    What's even funnier is that all the desperate rent-seekers who were fantasizing at the prospect of an increase in unearned wealth aren't seeing their fantasy come true.
  • joguest
    joguest Posts: 233 Forumite
    wotsthat wrote: »
    Although I've not seen anything in the media as sensational as this yet.......

    Actually, I retract my latter statement about LSL. The first page of their report is balanced and just sticks to the facts (i.e. rents rising in London, but going down in other regions, etc), but then it goes on to ramp property 'investment' in no uncertain terms (just like the commentary in all their other reports):

    Rents may be rising steadily for
    many tenants at present, but growing rental income is
    attracting investors to the sector. Property prices are below
    their historic peaks, yields are strong, and it is a great time for
    many landlords to enter the market or grow their portfolios.

    If that isn't ramping then I don't know what is. Property prices are below their historic peaks???!!!! - !!!!!! does that mean - they're certainly below the 2007 peak in nominal terms (as a UK average), but on other metrics, e.g. price-to-earnings and rental yields, prices look overpriced compared to historic averages. Yields are strong???? - no they're not.

    This is the killer:

    and it is a great time for
    many landlords to enter the market or grow their portfolios

    That's nothing short of completely prejudiced ramping. There's nothing balanced about it.
  • joguest
    joguest Posts: 233 Forumite
    Spinning like a top there jo...

    6.5% in the last three years eh?

    Let me guess, 4.1% in the last year, 2% or so the year before, and almost nothing the previous year.

    So rent increases are accelerating.

    Good to know.;)

    Rents only go up! To infinity and beyond!
  • wotsthat
    wotsthat Posts: 11,325 Forumite
    joguest wrote: »
    Actually, I retract my latter statement about LSL. The first page of their report is balanced and just sticks to the facts (i.e. rents rising in London, but going down in other regions, etc), but then it goes on to ramp property 'investment' in no uncertain terms (just like the commentary in all their other reports):

    Rents may be rising steadily for
    many tenants at present, but growing rental income is
    attracting investors to the sector. Property prices are below
    their historic peaks, yields are strong, and it is a great time for
    many landlords to enter the market or grow their portfolios.

    If that isn't ramping then I don't know what is. Property prices are below their historic peaks???!!!! - !!!!!! does that mean - they're certainly below the 2007 peak in nominal terms (as a UK average), but on other metrics, e.g. price-to-earnings and rental yields, prices look overpriced compared to historic averages. Yields are strong???? - no they're not.

    This is the killer:

    and it is a great time for
    many landlords to enter the market or grow their portfolios

    That's nothing short of completely prejudiced ramping. There's nothing balanced about it.

    Of course, one always needs to take a pinch of salt with anything where the accusation "well they would say that wouldn't they" can be made.

    Rather than ramping though I'd say that, based on the figures, BTL looks like a decent bet for the future. I'd also bet some of the reluctant landlords of the last few years can't believe their luck at the moment.
  • IronWolf wrote: »
    That's 2% compounded = 26.8%

    0.2% compounded is 2.4%

    Pedantically it's 2.42657679454032%

    You guys are debating a 0.073% (rounding) difference.

    I'd say they were "about" the same ;)
    :wall:
    What we've got here is....... failure to communicate.
    Some men you just can't reach.
    :wall:
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