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BOE MPC voted 6-3 to hold rates in Feb

135

Comments

  • Generali
    Generali Posts: 36,411 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    maveli wrote: »
    lol,
    seriously, what will happen ?

    The Chairman of the MPC (who is also Governor of the Bank of England) holds the casting vote in this case.

    http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/about/legislation/1998act.pdf

    Page 27.

    The Chairman is only supposed to put forward a vote that can command a majority so it should never happen that his casting vote would be needed as a compromise should be agreed in advance.
  • Heyman_2
    Heyman_2 Posts: 1,819 Forumite
    Interesting to note that even though it's currently a 6-3 split, those 3 don't completely agree with each other.

    You have Sentance saying that it's time to get rates up as the economy can withstand it, but the other 2 see an uncertain economic outlook and it would appear they are favouring a small rise simply to test the water.

    I don't really see how this translates into rates going up next month or even the month after that as some people here are getting enthusiastic about, although the revised Q4 2010 GDP figures are due before next month's meeting, so they may have an impact if they're better than expected.

    Sentance leaves the MPC in May this year, remember.
  • tara747
    tara747 Posts: 10,238 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    Generali wrote: »
    From the horse's mouth:

    Remember, there is nothing that says that base rates have to change by 0.25% (25 basis points) each time. If interest rates rise they may well rise faster and higher than many expect.

    I bl00dy well hope so.
    Extra Time, then Penalties....

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  • tara747
    tara747 Posts: 10,238 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    Heyman wrote: »
    Interesting to note that even though it's currently a 6-3 split, those 3 don't completely agree with each other.

    You have Sentance saying that it's time to get rates up as the economy can withstand it, but the other 2 see an uncertain economic outlook and it would appear they are favouring a small rise simply to test the water.

    I don't really see how this translates into rates going up next month or even the month after that as some people here are getting enthusiastic about, although the revised Q4 2010 GDP figures are due before next month's meeting, so they may have an impact if they're better than expected.

    Sentance leaves the MPC in May this year, remember.

    Oh great, then they can get another Blanchflower or Bean to replace him. :mad:
    Get to 119lbs! 1/2/09: 135.6lbs 1/5/11: 145.8lbs 30/3/13 150lbs 22/2/14 137lbs 2/6/14 128lbs 29/8/14 124lbs 2/6/17 126lbs
    Save £180,000 by 31 Dec 2020! 2011: £54,342 * 2012: £62,200 * 2013: £74,127 * 2014: £84,839 * 2015: £95,207 * 2016: £109,122 * 2017: £121,733 * 2018: £136,565 * 2019: £161,957 * 2020: £197,685
    eBay sales - £4,559.89 Cashback - £2,309.73
  • Heyman_2
    Heyman_2 Posts: 1,819 Forumite
    tara747 wrote: »
    Oh great, then they can get another Blanchflower or Bean to replace him. :mad:

    Not necessarily, although it would be good to see 'Danny' Blanchflower back in the fold :D;)
  • Generali
    Generali Posts: 36,411 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    tara747 wrote: »
    Oh great, then they can get another Blanchflower or Bean to replace him. :mad:

    Sentance is an external appointee, ie his replacement will be chosen by the Chancellor of the Exchequer.
  • ILW
    ILW Posts: 18,333 Forumite
    All this fuss about base rate may rise to 1%.
    1% !!!!!!!!!!
  • Generali
    Generali Posts: 36,411 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    ILW wrote: »
    All this fuss about base rate may rise to 1%.
    1% !!!!!!!!!!

    A couple of years ago, 1% would have been a record low.
  • ILW
    ILW Posts: 18,333 Forumite
    Generali wrote: »
    A couple of years ago, 1% would have been a record low.

    A couple of years ago, 1% would have been totally unbelievable.
  • The_Fox wrote: »
    It's hillarious, people i am talking to this morning have got it in their heads that the BOE will be raising rates by 1.5% over a year, and then thats it.
    What i think will happen is there will be raises of 0.25%, and everytime they do so there will be little if no impact on inflation. I can see rates back to some kind of historical norm within 3 years, maybe as high as 8 or 9%.
    That is hillarious
    :wall:
    What we've got here is....... failure to communicate.
    Some men you just can't reach.
    :wall:
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