The absolute fallacy of the average bull argument.

geneer

Rinoa wrote: »

All you do is post words that have no meaning, add a cartoon depicting how you imagine you've won the debate and add a couple of smilies.

Do you mean the cartoon from last year which parodied you, after years of bleating the same meaningless jibe, trying to realign the goalposts with obvious frustration.

The one I posted immediately after you yet again attempted to do the same?

Yep. Nothing funny about that.

Rinoa wrote: »

Hasn't worked for the last 20,000 posts on HPC, GHPC, Credit Crunch etc ~ not working now.

It kind of has though, hasn't it?

Rinoa wrote: »

The reality is you could have bought in 2001 when Edinburgh house prices were £101,000 cheaper and saved yourself 10 years rent.

So not Q4 2005 then. :rotfl::rotfl::rotfl:

Its not often someone stitches themselves us like a kipper.

.......waaaaaait a minute....

Rinoa wrote: »

Still, too late now.

Adios.

Laterz Columbo.
Big love to the nursez, a'ight.

geneer

Anyhow, heres what "Normal Seasonal Variations" look like in Aberdeen, apparently.

geneer

HAMISH_MCTAVISH wrote: »

And geneer loses interest again.......
Who could have seen that one coming.

Come on spamish. We can't seem to find those normal seasonal variations of tens of thousands of pounds prior to 2007/2008.

But they must be there surely. I mean, you've repeated the same dozens of times, so theres no way you could have been jaw-droppingly wrong.

HAMISH_MCTAVISH

geneer wrote: »

We can't seem to find those normal seasonal variations of tens of thousands of pounds prior to 2007/2008.

You mean they were less noticable in the 2004-2007 market rises.

They were still there, just smaller.

But they must be there surely.

Should've gone to Specsavers geneer...... Look a little closer.;)


But moving away from this tedious trolling, what exactly is your premise about Aberdeen house prices geneer?

How much below peak do you think houses are selling for in Aberdeen?

Graham_Devon

HAMISH_MCTAVISH wrote: »

You mean they were less noticable in the 2004-2007 market rises.

They were still there, just smaller.

PMSL.

Made me laugh, cheers Hamish.

geneer

HAMISH_MCTAVISH wrote: »

They were still there, just smaller.
Should've gone to Specsavers geneer...... Look a little closer.;)

Glasses. Nah mate. We would need a microscope.

HAMISH_MCTAVISH wrote: »

But moving away from this tedious trolling, what exactly is your premise about Aberdeen house prices geneer?

What tedious trolling Spamish? Do you mean sharing the crystal clear evidence that has demolished your dubious arguments.
The evidence you've singularly been unable to refute (but gave us all a laugh trying).

Premise you say.
Nah. I'm afraid the hypothesis has been proven, subjected to peer review and accepted into the collective body of knowledge.
Gotta love science.

And why would I limit myself to aberdoom. It seems the phenomenon know as bullish [EMAIL="statw@nk"]statw@nk[/EMAIL] is much more extensive that that.

HAMISH_MCTAVISH wrote: »

How much below peak do you think houses are selling for in Aberdeen?

Wrong thread mate. But if it were under consideration, it would be a very silly person indeed who tried to make a meal out of the blunt averages. :rotfl::rotfl::rotfl:

geneer

Just to be sure this is absolutely crystal clear, reitterating another case in point.
http://edinburghnews.scotsman.com/news/House-prices-up-over-last.6716192.jp

House prices up over last three months

Woo hoo. Yay!

The average house price in Edinburgh for the three months to January was £214,222, according to the latest figures from the Edinburgh Solicitors Property Centre.The figure is up 1.1 per cent on the same period last year,

Superb! Lets here it for house prices.

but ESPC said this rise in the average had been caused by an increase in the proportion of large properties on the market.

Yay! Get in........what now?

Business analyst David Marshall said that a comparison of like-for-like sales showed that homes in the Capital were actually worth around 5 per cent less than they were a year ago.

Uh-oh.
Better not make to much of those average prices then. :rotfl:

geneer

Yet more VIs speak out against Hamishes silly billy assumptions!

http://thescotsman.scotsman.com/scotland/Spring-bounceback-begins-with-sharp.6750148.jp

Chris Highton, of Allied Surveyors in Selkirk, said: "The lower end is still a problem. It is clear with published house-price figures that the average values are at odds with actual values.

"This is because very little is selling at the bottom end of the market, leading to an increase in the average figures. Actual prices are not, however, increasing."

The evidence really is becoming overwhelming.

Batchy

some peeps have lost it... buy a house and chill out!

LoL

geneer

Batchy wrote: »

some peeps have lost it... buy a house and chill out!

LoL

Given that the FTB side of the market appears to be have quite unaffected by the "2009 recovery" I'd say thats looks like an increasingly interesting option for bears sensible enough to have a nice fat deposit saved up.