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Schiff on why housing will crash, 2006

smeagold
smeagold Posts: 1,429 Forumite
edited 31 January 2011 at 3:25PM in Debate House Prices & the Economy
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jj8rMwdQf6k

if you havn't seen this speech yet, you should, here he predicts everything that would happen to the US housing market at a mortgage bankers conference in 2006, and by extension, what will happen here.
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Comments

  • Not watched it, but didn't it already happen? i.e. past tense now as it's 5 years old and we have already seen a circa 20% correction in that time.

    Are you inferring it will repeat again?
    :wall:
    What we've got here is....... failure to communicate.
    Some men you just can't reach.
    :wall:
  • StevieJ
    StevieJ Posts: 20,174 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    smeagold wrote: »
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jj8rMwdQf6k

    if you havn't seen this speech yet, you should, here he predicts everything that would happen to the US housing market at a mortgage bankers conference in 2006, and by extension, what will happen here.

    Out of interest what did he predict for the USD at that time?
    'Just think for a moment what a prospect that is. A single market without barriers visible or invisible giving you direct and unhindered access to the purchasing power of over 300 million of the worlds wealthiest and most prosperous people' Margaret Thatcher
  • smeagold
    smeagold Posts: 1,429 Forumite
    edited 31 January 2011 at 5:48PM
    Not watched it, but didn't it already happen? i.e. past tense now as it's 5 years old and we have already seen a circa 20% correction in that time.

    Are you inferring it will repeat again?

    Schiff predicted an 80 or 90% fall, the US crash is ahead of ours we lag the US by about a year, more importantly he explains the economic fundamentals behind booms and busts.
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  • smeagold
    smeagold Posts: 1,429 Forumite
    StevieJ wrote: »
    Out of interest what did he predict for the USD at that time?

    he predicted that the usd would eventually collapse in value as foreigners realise that the trillions in IOUs could never be repayed. It would be nice if somone actually watched it before the counterarguments came in though. its a bit of an eye opener.
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  • StevieJ
    StevieJ Posts: 20,174 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    smeagold wrote: »
    he predicted that the usd would eventually collapse in value as foreigners realise that the trillions in IOUs could never be repayed. It would be nice if somone actually watched it before the counterarguments came in though. its a bit of an eye opener.

    So this was 2006, in the video he says that they will have 2 Trillion of adjustable mortgages to reset over the next couple of years. (about 24:00) so what happened :) BTW there was no eventually about that USD call,he was calling it imminent and bowled his investors a right googly :eek:
    'Just think for a moment what a prospect that is. A single market without barriers visible or invisible giving you direct and unhindered access to the purchasing power of over 300 million of the worlds wealthiest and most prosperous people' Margaret Thatcher
  • purch
    purch Posts: 9,865 Forumite
    Peter Schiff is a complete !!!!.

    The USD will collapse, stocks will crater !!!

    He hasn't a clue, he is a self publicist whose only interest is conning people into signing up for his useless services.
    'In nature, there are neither rewards nor punishments - there are Consequences.'
  • smeagold
    smeagold Posts: 1,429 Forumite
    edited 31 January 2011 at 5:57PM
    StevieJ wrote: »
    So this was 2006, in the video he says that they will have 2 Trillion of adjustable mortgages to reset over the next couple of years. (about 24:00) so what happened :) BTW there was no eventually about that USD call,he was calling it imminent and bowled his investors a right googly :eek:

    in 2006 the usdx was at 94 now its at 77, a brief spike in 2008 from safety flight now heading down again if you watch the speech he says 'eventual collapse'. Try watching the speech, which you won't of course. go on watch it, I dare you!!
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  • smeagold
    smeagold Posts: 1,429 Forumite
    purch wrote: »
    Peter Schiff is a complete !!!!.

    The USD will collapse, stocks will crater !!!

    He hasn't a clue, he is a self publicist whose only interest is conning people into signing up for his useless services.

    go on purch watch the thing, in return I'll watch something you may think i might benefit from.

    (and stocks did crater and the usd is collapsing and as he predicted they printed a ton of money)
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  • StevieJ
    StevieJ Posts: 20,174 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    smeagold wrote: »
    in 2006 the usdx was at 94 now its at 77, a brief spike in 2008 from safety flight now heading down again if you watch the speech he says 'eventual collapse'. Try watching the speech, which you won't of course. go on watch it, I dare you!!

    I must be psychic quoting his adjustable mortgage resets at 24 minutes in the video :)
    'Just think for a moment what a prospect that is. A single market without barriers visible or invisible giving you direct and unhindered access to the purchasing power of over 300 million of the worlds wealthiest and most prosperous people' Margaret Thatcher
  • CLAPTON
    CLAPTON Posts: 41,865 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    'eventually'.... eventually the world will definitively end; but I'm not selling the house
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