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Lottery - improve your odds?

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  • Tiggs_2
    Tiggs_2 Posts: 440 Forumite
    its 14m to 1.........trying to "increase the payout" in that way is as pointless as going out with a hard hat on so if a astroid hits you on the head you will have a better shot at living!
  • whambamboo
    whambamboo Posts: 1,287 Forumite
    Milarky wrote:
    Has this occurred to Camelot too? A large proportion of tickets sold are 'lucky dip' (chosen by them) and as a draw approaches they could 'know' which numbers were being clustered by all the millions of entries picked by the players themselves. Thus (I'm sure they've looked into it) they could actually take account of the numbers entered to skew the selection of LD numbers (presumably 'away') from them. [Extreme example every LD consists of the same six numbers - the punters either all win nothing - where some would have won something - or all win something - at least £10]

    Any thoughts?

    why would they want to do this?

    The payout is fixed at 50% (wow that sucks) of ticket sales.
    My policies are based not on some economics theory, but on things I and millions like me were brought up with: an honest day's work for an honest day's pay; live within your means; put by a nest egg for a rainy day; pay your bills on time; support the police - Margaret Thatcher.
  • I always buy a Lucky Dip, if I buy a ticket. Camelot use a unique combination of numbers for each Lucky Dip, so you're guaranteed to be the only one with those numbers at the time of purchase. Buy your ticket near the closing time and if you get lucky you get the lot.

    Remember though, don't look at the ticket when you buy it and don't check your numbers for a couple of months. This way your dream remains alive in your pocket without having to spend another pound on it straight away...!!

    Winning the lottery is just a dream; why waste money on it when you can get it for less this way.
  • Will.Power wrote:
    Camelot use a unique combination of numbers for each Lucky Dip, so you're guaranteed to be the only one with those numbers at the time of purchase. Buy your ticket near the closing time and if you get lucky you get the lot.

    I didn't know that. If this is true, then a lucky dip is not random. I always thought that, if buying two LDs at the same time, there was a one in 14 million chance that they would be identical.

    :)

    GG
    There are 10 types of people in this world. Those who understand binary and those that don't.
  • tomstickland
    tomstickland Posts: 19,538 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Whatever numbers you choose the odds still make the lottery a very bad gamble.
    Happy chappy
  • Mikeyorks wrote:
    Very good ...... now, where's me lottery pin? Oops - rolled under the pile of Premium Bonds again!;)

    Is this a Halloween thread?

    Martin has shown that PBs are not much better than the lottery. I guess that if you can find the least popular numbers, you can increase your returns (whilst maintaining the same, rubbish odds). This may make the lottery a better gamble than PBs.

    :)

    GG
    There are 10 types of people in this world. Those who understand binary and those that don't.
  • Twopints
    Twopints Posts: 1,776 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    I didn't know that. If this is true, then a lucky dip is not random. I always thought that, if buying two LDs at the same time, there was a one in 14 million chance that they would be identical.

    :)

    GG
    I don't think this can be right! There is a 1 in 14m chance of a particular set of numbers occurring so the chance of the same numbers occurring twice at the same time must be a tad higher.
    Not even wrong
  • whambamboo
    whambamboo Posts: 1,287 Forumite
    Martin has shown that PBs are not much better than the lottery. I guess that if you can find the least popular numbers, you can increase your returns (whilst maintaining the same, rubbish odds). This may make the lottery a better gamble than PBs.

    Premium bonds are *better* than the lottery for ALL savers (as you imply, by 'not much better').

    The return is

    60.6%/75.7%/100.96%

    for non-tax payers/basic/higher rate versus 50% average for the lottery

    There is no way of working out what the return would be for choosing unpopular numbers, and frankly why bother?
    My policies are based not on some economics theory, but on things I and millions like me were brought up with: an honest day's work for an honest day's pay; live within your means; put by a nest egg for a rainy day; pay your bills on time; support the police - Margaret Thatcher.
  • Well, I look at it slightly differently.

    Say I buy a lucky dip. It's numbers are any 6 numbers from 1 to 49.

    Then, I buy a second LD. The chance of the second set being the same as those is 1 in 14million whether I buy them at the same time or a day apart.

    :)

    GG
    There are 10 types of people in this world. Those who understand binary and those that don't.
  • whambamboo
    whambamboo Posts: 1,287 Forumite
    Can this thread please be moved off the savings & investments board, as it is neither a savings account nor an investment.
    My policies are based not on some economics theory, but on things I and millions like me were brought up with: an honest day's work for an honest day's pay; live within your means; put by a nest egg for a rainy day; pay your bills on time; support the police - Margaret Thatcher.
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