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BoE Interest Rate will go up in Ist quarter of 2011 ??

1246

Comments

  • Pimperne1
    Pimperne1 Posts: 2,177 Forumite
    Thrugelmir wrote: »
    Easy point to answer. Banks and building societies have no need to "compete" for business so margins will be maintained. As overall net lending is still contracting.

    The FSA levy to fund the Icelandic savers is costing around a .25% on mortgage lending. The wholesale borrowing banking levy will also be a cost passed onto borrowers.

    Lenders that offered rates sub 1% above base not so long ago were losing money. So new borrowers will be subsiding the lucky few for a few years to come.

    I'm not talking about them competing. They should reduce their margin for the public good.
  • Thrugelmir
    Thrugelmir Posts: 89,546 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    Pimperne1 wrote: »
    I'm not talking about them competing. They should reduce their margin for the public good.

    Why? Bank shares are held by pension funds and other investment vehicles. That's where the return should be directed.
  • Pimperne1
    Pimperne1 Posts: 2,177 Forumite
    Thrugelmir wrote: »
    Why? Bank shares are held by pension funds and other investment vehicles. That's where the return should be directed.

    Yes maybe we should just make the ones that were bailed out by the taxpayer more consumer friendly. Not sure how easy it would be but I don't think an increase in repossessions would be good for anyone (well, to be entirely accurate it would be good for a very small minority).
  • Thrugelmir
    Thrugelmir Posts: 89,546 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    Pimperne1 wrote: »
    Yes maybe we should just make the ones that were bailed out by the taxpayer more consumer friendly. Not sure how easy it would be but I don't think an increase in repossessions would be good for anyone (well, to be entirely accurate it would be good for a very small minority).

    Repossessions are a media headline. Not a particularly material influence on the overall property market. More people will sell up and move into rented accomadation or downsize to relieve their burden of debt.

    Same as negative equity. Providing you can meet the monthly outgoing. Over time the situation will correct itself.

    The bailed out banks will be a shadow of their former selves by the time the rebuilding process is complete. RBS at its peak operated in 57 countries around the world and was the largest operator in 13.
  • Pimperne1
    Pimperne1 Posts: 2,177 Forumite
    Thrugelmir wrote: »
    Repossessions are a media headline. Not a particularly material influence on the overall property market. More people will sell up and move into rented accomadation or downsize to relieve their burden of debt.

    Same as negative equity. Providing you can meet the monthly outgoing. Over time the situation will correct itself.

    The bailed out banks will be a shadow of their former selves by the time the rebuilding process is complete. RBS at its peak operated in 57 countries around the world and was the largest operator in 13.

    Actually I agree that the repossession situation is overblown. Whenever I see it suggested it is usually some kind of VI such as Shelter or CML. I don't think they have been accurate in the past so why should they in the future. Having said that I do think the banks are profiteering at the moment (not saying that it would be right that they be tied close to the BoE rate just that the difference should not be so pronounced). I don't think the Government would let it happen so much if the petrol or bread providers were profiteering at the expense of the nation so banks have an equal duty to be fair and equitable.
  • Thrugelmir wrote: »
    Banks and building societies have no need to "compete" for business

    Yet.....

    But they will as funding increases and new entrants get into the market, attracted by the high margins.
    so margins will be maintained.

    For now.
    As overall net lending is still contracting.

    Which is unsustainable for Bank revenue streams for anything other than the short term.
    So new borrowers will be subsiding the lucky few million for a few years to come.

    Fixed that for you.
    “The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.

    Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”

    -- President John F. Kennedy”
  • Generali
    Generali Posts: 36,411 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Pimperne1 wrote: »
    I'm not talking about them competing. They should reduce their margin for the public good.

    :rotfl::rotfl::rotfl:

    What about the shareholders? They might have a word or two to say about that.

    The Labour Government bailed out the banks but part of the bailout was that it was BAU afterwards. Well with half the top 10 banks from 2006 bust and nationalised, this is the new BAU.
  • Pimperne1
    Pimperne1 Posts: 2,177 Forumite
    Generali wrote: »
    :rotfl::rotfl::rotfl:

    What about the shareholders? They might have a word or two to say about that.

    The Labour Government bailed out the banks but part of the bailout was that it was BAU afterwards. Well with half the top 10 banks from 2006 bust and nationalised, this is the new BAU.

    What word or two did they use when the Government levied a windfall tax on the private utilities?
  • Thrugelmir
    Thrugelmir Posts: 89,546 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic

    But they will as funding increases and new entrants get into the market, attracted by the high margins.

    and no doubt you're expecting Santa to pay you a visit too........;)
  • As they do not know the Xmas factor or the impact of VAT it would be pretty much stupid of them to do anything Jan or Feb

    I can work that out on the back of one of osbornes fag papers
    vat will increase inflation
    highh st/internet xmas sales will be flat,even flatter than last year when you factor in inflation.

    Basically the economy is stagnating
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