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Sharp contraction for UK economy

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Comments

  • Graham_Devon
    Graham_Devon Posts: 58,560 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Crabs wrote: »
    This was perhaps the most Striking comment "The annual rate of decline for the first quarter was revised to 4.9% - the worst contraction the British economy has ever seen."

    It is just so patently obvious that the Economy has a way to go down, & with it Property prices, which are still way too high in many areas ..

    Yer, it doesnt seem many have picked up on it though.

    I didnt either. As I'm quite used to seeing records broken now when it comes to bad news!
  • mbga9pgf
    mbga9pgf Posts: 3,224 Forumite
    edited 30 June 2009 at 7:08PM
    Bet next quarter is just as bad...

    THose idiots at the ONS dont have a clue. I posted numerous times the contraction was going to be 5%+ on here and elsewhere back last year, lets see what the ons thought May last year:

    IRGDPfan0508X2.gif

    Its laughable how some bloke on the internet can blow the official prediction out the water with a back-of-a-fag-packet calc (working out how much money was lost as a result of falling house prices and 0 Mortgage Equity Withdrawl) when they have flippin supercomputers and advanced computer models working out pretty trash like the above graph...
  • Thrugelmir
    Thrugelmir Posts: 89,546 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    mbga9pgf wrote: »
    Bet next quarter is just as bad...

    THose idiots at the ONS dont have a clue. I posted numerous times the contraction was going to be 5%+ on here and elsewhere back last year, lets see what the ons thought May last year:

    IRGDPfan0508X2.gif

    Its laughable how some bloke on the internet can blow the official prediction out the water with a back-of-a-fag-packet calc (working out how much money was lost as a result of falling house prices and 0 Mortgage Equity Withdrawl) when they have flippin supercomputers and advanced computer models working out pretty trash like the above graph...

    ONS figures are based on returns from Companies produced on a quarterly and annual basis. Some of the returns are extremely detailed. And aren't produced say from the Profit & Loss on your management accounts. The ones I hated over the years were Capital Expenditure which could take days. We ofren got extensions to filling returns as didn't have the manpower to complete within the allotted time frame.
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