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Debate House Prices


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USA Housing Recovery CANCELLED.

And where the US goes we follow.....

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/8002904.stm

New US house building has stalled


_45426353_006801731-1.jpg
The fall in new home construction was worse than economists had expected.

Housing construction in the US fell to its second lowest level on record in March, official figures have shown.
Construction of new houses and apartments fell 10.8% last month to an annual rate of 510,000 units, the US Commerce Department said.
Applications for building permits, which signal future activity, dropped 9% from February.
Separate government data showed that claims for unemployment benefits fell by 53,000 in the week ended 11 April.
The Labor Department said the number of claims declined from 663,000 the week before to 610,000.
'Mixed news'
The construction data is a stark reminder that the housing slump is far from over.
o.gifstart_quote_rb.gifThe decline of 10.8% is much weaker than expected and is obviously a disappointment end_quote_rb.gif


Hugh Johnson, Johnson Illington Advisors

The decline in new starts in March was worse than economists had expected, and followed a 17.2% rise in February.
February's gain had been driven by an increase in apartment activity, which can be a volatile sector.
The March rate was the second lowest since the Commerce Department started keeping records in 1959.
The lowest came in January when the annual rate dropped to 488,000.
Starts were down 54.1% from March 2008 while permits were down 49.5% year-on-year.
"The news is very mixed," said Hugh Johnson, chief investment officer at Johnson Illington Advisors in New York.
"Both the housing numbers and the jobless claims numbers are very volatile.
"The bad news obviously is that housing remains extremely weak. The decline of 10.8% is much weaker than expected and is obviously a disappointment.
Krusty & Phil Madoff, 1990 - 2007:
"Buy now because house prices only ever go UP, UP, UP."
«1

Comments

  • Cat695
    Cat695 Posts: 3,647 Forumite
    Ssssshhh

    ours is over...all the EA/people in the"know" have said so...so no more bad news thank you.
    If you find yourself in a fair fight, then you have failed to plan properly


    I've only ever been wrong once! and that was when I thought I was wrong but I was right
  • mewbie_2
    mewbie_2 Posts: 6,058 Forumite
    1,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Remember.. we're eighteen months behind the States. Way to go yet.
  • Masomnia
    Masomnia Posts: 19,506 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper
    Fewer new builds, lower supply, prices won't fall as fast :confused:

    Since we follow the USA, does that mean the number of people claiming unemployment benefit is going to fall here too in the near future?
    “I could see that, if not actually disgruntled, he was far from being gruntled.” - P.G. Wodehouse
  • adr0ck
    adr0ck Posts: 2,376 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    this is a post about the US building less houses

    the title does not match the post

    less housing supply = less fall in house prices...........may even = slight increase in house prices
  • Why would you be building houses when repossesions are going on & prices going down anyway?
    Not Again
  • Prudent
    Prudent Posts: 11,708 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper
    Why would you be building houses when repossesions are going on & prices going down anyway?


    There are still flood plains available :confused:
  • New home building in the US started to stall around 2006 - they currently have about 12.2 months supply of unsold new build single family homes. Not flats - houses. It's a bit better than a month ago - as some have sold.

    So less building does not mean less housing and higher prices - it means they have a massive over supply of brand new homes and until the inventory is down to historical levels there will be little new building going on.

    In a normal ecomony it's about 4 to 6 months supply.

    I'm not sure what the supply of unsold new build houses are here - no where near the US I would imagine.
  • Yep this aint bad news. If there was a boom in housing then this is the other side of the coin and realistic reactions in the market is a positive sign

    Supply and demand would seem to indicate that a fall in the supply of future housing would be bullish for the current stock at some point in the future.

    Not exactly brillant news for builders but overall this is no negative
  • Really2
    Really2 Posts: 12,397 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker

    I'm not sure what the supply of unsold new build houses are here - no where near the US I would imagine.

    Very low, most builds cleared stock houses and now build off plan when plots are sold.
  • Prudent wrote: »
    There are still flood plains available :confused:


    Nah, around my way they were built on 13 years ago..

    Had 2ft through me house in 2007!!

    :eek:
    Not Again
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