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UK Stockmarket 2009 and beyond

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  • tradetime
    tradetime Posts: 3,200 Forumite
    StevieJ wrote: »
    I am thinking that Shell is still looking fairly resilient with a few upgrades and price forecasts of around £26.00. I am keeping a close eye on it though.
    Yes wouldn't disagree with you on that mate, I still like Shell, good dividend, in a good sector, it's approaching its all time high and more importantly up quite a lot since I bought so I needed to take some off the table
    Hope for the best.....Plan for the worst!

    "Never in the history of the world has there been a situation so bad that the government can't make it worse." Unknown
  • StevieJ
    StevieJ Posts: 20,174 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    I have just had a look at the shares paying out over 4.5% yield and their ability to continue (cover), multiply one figure by the other and I get this list of Ftse 100 shares.

    1) Aviva 15.09
    2) Astra Zen 13.56
    3) BAE 12.55
    4) Shell 11.08
    5) Imperial 10.83
    6) Glaxo 10.13
    7) RSA 9.63
    8) M&S 9.61
    9) Resolution 9.08
    10)National Grid 9.02

    On the look of that list Aviva certainly looks like a top buy, especially considering it doesn't have the increasing R&D/Exploration spend of the likes of Shell and Astra Zeneca. I bought those not so long ago at around £2 and sold at £3, I should have kept hold icon8.gif
    'Just think for a moment what a prospect that is. A single market without barriers visible or invisible giving you direct and unhindered access to the purchasing power of over 300 million of the worlds wealthiest and most prosperous people' Margaret Thatcher
  • JamesU
    JamesU Posts: 1,060 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture Combo Breaker
    StevieJ wrote: »
    I have just had a look at the shares paying out over 4.5% yield and their ability to continue (cover), multiply one figure by the other and I get this list of Ftse 100 shares.

    SteveJ, for the compiled list and calculations do you mean current dividend yield x current/or forecast dividend cover and if so what data source are you using? Surprised SSE does not pop up in the list for example.

    JamesU
  • StevieJ
    StevieJ Posts: 20,174 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    JamesU wrote: »
    SteveJ, for the compiled list and calculations do you mean current dividend yield x current/or forecast dividend cover and if so what data source are you using? Surprised SSE does not pop up in the list for example.

    JamesU

    Using TD Waterhouse, I can only check it today (the figures have changed slightly) and SSE is showing 1.38 x 6.57 = 9.07, so would now sneak in number at 10.
    'Just think for a moment what a prospect that is. A single market without barriers visible or invisible giving you direct and unhindered access to the purchasing power of over 300 million of the worlds wealthiest and most prosperous people' Margaret Thatcher
  • blinko
    blinko Posts: 2,519 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    well i will update all, im not having sucha good time

    i got stopoped out of CEY centamin at 150 - 15%
    AFR Afren stopped out at 141 but i think something is in the pipeline as they have just taken on a 450m bond it looks like, but for me the trade had gone wrong sheesh - 15%

    only share doing it for me at the moment is Petroneft PTR +3%

    and xcite is currently - 9% due to me trying to trade it like a !!!!!! !

    but on a good news note i sold out of JPM africa and JPM nat resources crystalising a 25% and 17% gain
  • StevieJ
    StevieJ Posts: 20,174 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    That stock market sure is sticky, like a weeble it wobbles but it won't go down icon7.gif
    'Just think for a moment what a prospect that is. A single market without barriers visible or invisible giving you direct and unhindered access to the purchasing power of over 300 million of the worlds wealthiest and most prosperous people' Margaret Thatcher
  • bobbyj_2
    bobbyj_2 Posts: 351 Forumite
    at last time to buy CAD, looked like the overhang got cleared today.
  • Thats a very nice gain of nearly a quarter. Some dude declares 7% ownership is the trigger I guess
    i got stopoped out of CEY centamin at 150 - 15%
    AFR Afren stopped out at 141

    I hate stoplosses. I try to sell enough early and in profit to not need to do that. In theory CEY could go to zero but I dont think it will, they (whoever wins) needs that team to develop it into a proper asset still I think
    Its bounced nice but Im not sure it'll make it back to the top so easy. Any bounce contains short term speculators who sell and weaken the share later
    My downside target on negative news was around 95 to 105, there lies big volume. I did see the recent bottom but did not sell enough at the top to buy at that bottom :/

    Afren and Centamin are both tipped by Questor. For once he doesnt back away from the risk


    1) Aviva 15.09
    2) Astra Zen 13.56
    3) BAE 12.55
    4) Shell 11.08
    5) Imperial 10.83
    6) Glaxo 10.13
    7) RSA 9.63
    8) M&S 9.61
    9) Resolution 9.08
    10)National Grid 9.02

    Not bad to have a short list but I'd judge them mostly on opinion. If it was just numbers, we'd be replaced by computers (which is true of flash trading partly)

    Which has expanding prospects in their business and customers.

    BAE is the only one I own right now and its pretty beat up but in theory are well capitalised and I do think they will suceed in exporting. Otherwise it resembles Tesco to me except with guns :laugh:

    Rolls Royce is another exporter I should have got at the same time, not sure if they near to getting on that list. I think the price rose too much now. Anyhow they make power generators and lots of things needed

    Shell has entered orbit, dam. Bought back a bit of BP today

    Glaxo I said before something seems a bit off. I dont know that for sure of course.
    The chart for Astra looks great with a very quick look, dont know anything about them or medicines or development lines they have, etc

    Thought Resolution was probably cheap for a while. Bit of a mystery but the head guy seems to be an innovator so a very unusual ft100 company
  • Thrugelmir
    Thrugelmir Posts: 89,546 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    Spam reported.
  • Thrugelmir
    Thrugelmir Posts: 89,546 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    StevieJ wrote: »
    I have just had a look at the shares paying out over 4.5% yield and their ability to continue (cover), multiply one figure by the other and I get this list of Ftse 100 shares.

    1) Aviva 15.09
    2) Astra Zen 13.56
    3) BAE 12.55
    4) Shell 11.08
    5) Imperial 10.83
    6) Glaxo 10.13
    7) RSA 9.63
    8) M&S 9.61
    9) Resolution 9.08
    10)National Grid 9.02

    Worth looking at European blue chip shares as well. There are plenty of quality companies offering good secure yields.

    National Grid, I would rate as a sell currently.
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