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Travelling to NZ in august - best to book now or last minute?

Hi guys, my first post and I need advice. I am planning to travel to New Zealand to visit a friend in August. I'm not sure whether to
a) book it now as all the cheap seats will go, or
b) later because the travel companies will be trying to get rid of all the unsold seats, or
c) because I'm travelling on my own, to do the thing where you wait in the airport until there is a spare seat (though this would be highly risky since I assume people wouldn't just 'not turn up' for long haul flights, especially during this recession.

Anyone know of good websites for advice, or have any experience which will help me? My current quotes for prices are around £650..
Cheers, Donna x

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