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Is Britain in a Mini-Depression??

What do you make of this statement? How do you define a depression, let alone a mini-depression? In America, the economists have come up with the term, near-depression.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aWyyfsT1PfCk&refer=home

Officials “should be alive to the possibility that weakness in the pound will just scare off foreign investors,” Neil Mackinnon, chief economist at ECU Plc in London and a former U.K. Treasury official, said in an interview on Bloomberg Television today. “The U.K. economy is certainly in a recession if not a mini depression.”
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Comments

  • StevieJ
    StevieJ Posts: 20,174 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Andrew64 wrote: »
    What do you make of this statement? How do you define a depression, let alone a mini-depression? In America, the economists have come up with the term, near-depression.

    http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aWyyfsT1PfCk&refer=home

    Officials “should be alive to the possibility that weakness in the pound will just scare off foreign investors,” Neil Mackinnon, chief economist at ECU Plc in London and a former U.K. Treasury official, said in an interview on Bloomberg Television today. “The U.K. economy is certainly in a recession if not a mini depression.”

    The U.K. economy is certainly in a recession

    Remind me who is this brainbox? :D
    'Just think for a moment what a prospect that is. A single market without barriers visible or invisible giving you direct and unhindered access to the purchasing power of over 300 million of the worlds wealthiest and most prosperous people' Margaret Thatcher
  • twirlypinky
    twirlypinky Posts: 2,415 Forumite
    Well I'm certainly depressed.
    saving up another deposit as we've lost all our equity.
    We're 29% of the way there...
  • geoffky
    geoffky Posts: 6,835 Forumite
    we are in the warm up to a major depression..this time next year will be a different landscape..
    It is nice to see the value of your house going up'' Why ?
    Unless you are planning to sell up and not live anywhere, I can;t see the advantage.
    If you are planning to upsize the new house will cost more.
    If you are planning to downsize your new house will cost more than it should
    If you are trying to buy your first house its almost impossible.
  • Generali
    Generali Posts: 36,411 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    StevieJ wrote: »

    The U.K. economy is certainly in a recession

    Remind me who is this brainbox? :D

    ECU PLC (who I'd never heard of before today):

    http://www.ecugroup.com/theecugroup/thecompany.cfm
    Specialists in Currency Management

    The ECU Group plc is a specialist currency manager based in Mayfair, London and was established in 1988.

    ECU’s core business is multi-currency loan management with the twin objectives of reducing both debt and interest costs. The company pioneered the concept and is now the UK’s longest established multi-currency loan manager.

    ECU has a 20-year track record of managing currency on behalf of high net worth individuals and companies.

    They try to reduce your mortgage by shifting the debt between various currencies to take advantage of changes in FX rates and interest rate differentials. This is hugely risky and a really dumb idea, IMO.

    eg:

    http://www.ecugroup.com/resources/FinancialTimes-December2008.cfm
    Homeowners who have mortgages in euros, Swiss francs or dollars may have fared worse. Advisers say some loans have increased by 25 or 30 per cent in a matter of months.
  • bo_drinker
    bo_drinker Posts: 3,924 Forumite
    How do you define or what should we expect if the UK was to go bankrupt. Did I read on the weekend we are 2nd in line to Iceland, maybe ?? :confused:
    I came in to this world with nothing and I've still got most of it left. :rolleyes:
  • purch
    purch Posts: 9,865 Forumite
    Remind me who is this brainbox?

    Neil Mackinnon is a very clever chap actually (although he is cr*p at both Darts and Cricket)

    Edit: just noticed that Mike Hughes also works there..........he probably balances out the cleverness factor
    'In nature, there are neither rewards nor punishments - there are Consequences.'
  • purch
    purch Posts: 9,865 Forumite
    Did I read on the weekend we are 2nd in line to Iceland, maybe ??

    Was it written by Wookster ?? If so I would treat it with a pinch of something....
    'In nature, there are neither rewards nor punishments - there are Consequences.'
  • I don't think this is a mini depression. I think this is a big depression. I think it will be a slow longhaul out of it.

    The politicians aren't going to tell you that.
  • StevieJ
    StevieJ Posts: 20,174 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    I don't think this is a mini depression. I think this is a big depression. I think it will be a slow longhaul out of it.

    The politicians aren't going to tell you that.

    Just as long as it is just 'I think' :D
    'Just think for a moment what a prospect that is. A single market without barriers visible or invisible giving you direct and unhindered access to the purchasing power of over 300 million of the worlds wealthiest and most prosperous people' Margaret Thatcher
  • Generali
    Generali Posts: 36,411 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    StevieJ wrote: »
    Just as long as it is just 'I think' :D

    You certainly don't want to be reading, "The UK is certainly in a depression" over your cornflakes!
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