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Premium Bonds - Beating the odds?

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I've had 500 premium bonds for 4 years.

Martin's caclulator suggests the following likely outcomes:

Win £0................36.8%
Win £50 or more....63.2%

Almost twice as likely to win £50 or more than winning nothing but I beat the odds and won nothing. In the meantime I have, of course, missed out on the interest that I could have earned (circa £100).

Anybody else 'beating the odds'?

GG
There are 10 types of people in this world. Those who understand binary and those that don't.

Comments

  • silvercar
    silvercar Posts: 49,628 Ambassador
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Academoney Grad Name Dropper
    I think the odds are beating you in this case. Beating the odds would occur if you won £50,000.
    I'm a Forum Ambassador on the housing, mortgages & student money saving boards. I volunteer to help get your forum questions answered and keep the forum running smoothly. Forum Ambassadors are not moderators and don't read every post. If you spot an illegal or inappropriate post then please report it to forumteam@moneysavingexpert.com (it's not part of my role to deal with this). Any views are mine and not the official line of MoneySavingExpert.com.
  • Premium Bonds are funny things. I win on average 3x £50 per year (which funnily enough works out as the exact amount of interest i'd be getting in my 6% ISA!) but my sister who held the same amount of bonds won 1x £50 in the past...well I can't even remember how long it's been. More than 4 years I'd say.

    So I beat the odds against me. Since the decrease in prizes though, I expect to win a lot less frequently. :rolleyes:
  • gozomark
    gozomark Posts: 2,069 Forumite
    most people will do worse than the average, a few will do better, even fewer will do alot better
  • isofa
    isofa Posts: 6,091 Forumite
    Well... 36 people in 100 (with £500) are losing in the same way as you ;)

    Main discussion thread here: http://forums.moneysavingexpert.com/showthread.html?t=510305
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