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Debate House Prices


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What do you predict?

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Comments

  • Chris2685
    Chris2685 Posts: 1,212 Forumite
    OK I found another possible source...

    Funny how there seem to be so few reputable sources around :(

    http://www.denbighshire.gov.uk/EN/EnvDirec.nsf/0fe70aef12d2674a80256763004d8527/ab69c47e8ab4346980256d2000313627/$FILE/Average%20Household Income 2006.pdf
    "In 2006, average household income in the UK was £32,342."

    So, assuming 2% inflation per year since then, it is now... roughly £34000
  • mitchaa
    mitchaa Posts: 4,487 Forumite
    Chris2685 wrote: »
    But those figures are based on gross, and are based on household incomes (not single income).

    Fair enough it is a couple of years old, but I doubt income has risen 8k in 2 years...

    Household incomes also cater for all those on benefits and not in work so they sway the figures.

    Perhaps it should just be average working household income, that would be more relevant to the mortgage market as its highly unlikely a dole dosser is ever going to get a mortgage.
  • Chris2685
    Chris2685 Posts: 1,212 Forumite
    Try finding that figure somewhere then haha :D
  • mitchaa
    mitchaa Posts: 4,487 Forumite
    Chris2685 wrote: »
    OK I found another possible source...

    Funny how there seem to be so few reputable sources around :(

    http://www.denbighshire.gov.uk/EN/EnvDirec.nsf/0fe70aef12d2674a80256763004d8527/ab69c47e8ab4346980256d2000313627/$FILE/Average Household Income 2006.pdf
    "In 2006, average household income in the UK was £32,342."

    So, assuming 2% inflation per year since then, it is now... roughly £34000

    CPI currently at over 5% this year ;)

    Last year i believe pay awards were based on around 2.8%

    But yes, it gets you closer to that £38k ish figure.
  • TDS wrote: »
    Those that were predicting 50% drops a while back are no longer looking so crazy. I therefore predict 120% drops.







    You're bright!!!!!!!!

    :rotfl: :rotfl: :rotfl: :rotfl: :rotfl: :rotfl: :rotfl: :rotfl: :rotfl:
  • carolt
    carolt Posts: 8,531 Forumite
    This is an old argument, as I'm sure you well know.

    The reason mortgages have traditionally not been based on 3.5 times dual incomes or household income is because in most cases, couples have families which affect the ability of both partners to earn full wages. Therefore it would be suicidal for banks to lend on full multiples of 2 incomes, as a lot of people, in the medium to long term, would be unable to pay - as we are seeing now.

    It was precisely those kinds of lending decisions that caused this mess.

    I have a feeling mitchaa doesn't have children yet - if and when he does, the flaw in his logic may become apparent. :)
  • adr0ck
    adr0ck Posts: 2,374 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture Combo Breaker
    carolt wrote: »
    This is an old argument, as I'm sure you well know.

    The reason mortgages have traditionally not been based on 3.5 times dual incomes or household income is because in most cases, couples have families which affect the ability of both partners to earn full wages. Therefore it would be suicidal for banks to lend on full multiples of 2 incomes, as a lot of people, in the medium to long term, would be unable to pay - as we are seeing now.

    It was precisely those kinds of lending decisions that caused this mess.

    I have a feeling mitchaa doesn't have children yet - if and when he does, the flaw in his logic may become apparent. :)

    i think thats why the figures are based on one full time and one part time

    if you go back far enough then there was only one wage

    also don't forget most things are cheaper now
  • If the average house price now is circa £170k(Haliwide), where do you think they will be in 2 years time?

    note: this is justa query thread, not an essay-answers-only thread. Just numbers. Ok?

    I'll start at £155k.

    In two years, hmm, I reckon a house will go for:

    1. £900,000,000,000,000 (nine hundred thousand trillion pounds). That's due to hyperinflation, not house price inflation, by the way. NB: That's the price on 16 October 2010 in the morning. By the afternoon it will be double that. Oh, and the wheelbarrow will be thrown in free.

    or:

    2. Ten bars of gold

    or:

    3 four hundred tins of beans, twelve shotgun cartridges and a wind up radio!

    :rolleyes:
    'Never keep up with Joneses. Drag them down to your level. It's cheaper.' Quentin Crisp
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