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BofE Base Rate - October 2008
Comments
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Difficult to say how the Germans' actions affect the situation without knowing exactly what the German have guaranteed or indeed what is the guarantee - is it just retail savings or is it corporate deposits as well and is it a 100% guanrantee.
IF it is all deposits retail and corporate - similar as I understand it to the Irish solution - one can expect a run on the £ as the big (ie corporate) money will start to go to Germany - and an interest rise in the UK would be required to protect the £: unless of course one considers nuclear options such as the imposition of currency controls.
Somehow I can't see such a rise happening or even less likely that currency controls would be imposed (as this would REALLY freeze up the monetary system) and therefore HMG will probably have no option eventually other than to formally guarantee all savings 100% likewise.
The question is whether they are, for once, going to get ahead of the game or continue react to it.
Frankly the amount of "Retail Savings Deposits" is small compared to the amount of corporate/business money floating around/at risk.
The longer term effect of the Irish and German actions on the Euro and for stability/cooperation within the countries of the EU/Euro is an interesting one to watch for the future.0 -
I wish that I had added a 'down 2%' or more option.
GGThere are 10 types of people in this world. Those who understand binary and those that don't.0 -
Gorgeous_George wrote: »I wish that I had added a 'down 2%' or more option.
GG
I still can't get my head round how Labour have managed to send the economy into almost certain recession with rates this low in the first place, a staggering achievement of mis-management.
I heard Brown the other day saying ' this crisis that came from America ' and to think this idiot is still at the helm. His head is so far in the sand that the only people he can talk to while his head is in their are house sellers who still have their houses up at 2007 prices
The new buzzphrase is 'preserving stability', can anyone point out to me what kind of stability he is supposed to be preserving because I can't see it.0 -
Stability of inflation? Er no, that's not it.
Stability of unemployment? No, that's on the rise, it can't be that.
Stability of the Economy? Nope, that's shafted.
Stability of pensions? Ha ha ha ha...
Stability of House prices? See pensions.
Stability of the Stock Market? Errr...
Nope - can't think of what stability he's talking about preserving. Anyone else got any other ideas?0 -
I still can't get my head round how Labour have managed to send the economy into almost certain recession with rates this low in the first place, a staggering achievement of mis-management.
So, the UK would have been immune to World events if Maggie was still in charge?
I think the fan would still be receiving it at the same rate but the poor would be poorer and the rich would be richer. You'd be paying 40% on the first £30K and 20% after that (oops, that's not far off the truth already).
GGThere are 10 types of people in this world. Those who understand binary and those that don't.0 -
There are 10 types of people in this world. Those who understand binary and those that don't.0
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Stability of inflation? Er no, that's not it.
Stability of unemployment? No, that's on the rise, it can't be that.
Stability of the Economy? Nope, that's shafted.
Stability of pensions? Ha ha ha ha...
Stability of House prices? See pensions.
Stability of the Stock Market? Errr...
Nope - can't think of what stability he's talking about preserving. Anyone else got any other ideas?
Stability! I bet if he had stabilisers on his bike, he'd still fall off the thing.I am a Mortgage Consultant and don't like to be told what I can and can't put in a signature so long as it's legal and truthful.0 -
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I still can't get my head round how Labour have managed to send the economy into almost certain recession with rates this low in the first place, a staggering achievement of mis-management.
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Rate are lower in the USA & Eurozone so this is hardly a unique achievement.US housing: it's not a bubble
Moneyweek, December 20050
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