Arrived: Halifax figures for July!

ginvzt

Ok, so what do you think Halifax figures will show this month? And more importantly - when do you think they will be out?

I'll got for -1.3% MoM
I think they might be out on Thursday...

BiggaThanBen

Guessing MoM is easy, lets predict release date .... my bet is - first half of August

steadysaver

I will go for -1.8% MoM

and a day ending in Y for the release date

brit1234

I'm going for a big 2.4% based on the parts of the country Halifax tend to deal with compared with Nationwide always seem to be a little bigger in their drops.:beer:

carolt

I'm going for 2.4%, and a release date of...as late as they can possibly make it, yet still juuuust in this month.

30 August.

oldMcDonald

I'm going to go for -2.5% and a release day of next Tuesday

Lotus-eater

- 2.1%

Wonder what spin the Express will put on them.

MrDT

-1.9% and a little note to tell us that houses are still worth (just about) a couple of quid more than they were four years ago (in nominal terms)

As for a date, hmm, I'll have a stab at the 11th

LittleMissAspie

I'll guess at approx 1% down (180,344 to 178,540), just so they can say prices are higher than two years ago (Jul 06 was 177,020).

178,540 would be a YoY drop of 10.2%!

Edit: Right, I'm going to stick my neck out and say that Halifax will be into double digit falls in August. That's assuming a 1% drop per month, which I think we can all agree is quite conservative. This is using their 3-month rolling average. The actual fall would be more like 11.5%. For the 3-mth figure to go over 10% in July, the MoM would have to be 6%, which is exceedingly unlikely.

neverdespairgirl

I'm guessing 2% down.

dopester

-1.7%

with a poshly disguised big whine at the Government for playing havoc with the market over what is now uncertainty about Stamp Duty changes.... hmm although that in itself might delay significant price falls.