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Why shares were lemons under 'new' Labour

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http://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/main.jhtml?xml=/money/2007/06/26/ccinv126.xml

Interesting review of shares performance since May 1997, with all dividends reinvested your return was just 7% per annum.

Investment in property under BTL would have seen a nine-fold return over the same period.

Of course, past performance is no guide to the future!

Comments

  • JDinho
    JDinho Posts: 111 Forumite
    Interesting headline figures, but as with everything there is a need to scratch away at the surface.

    The BTL vs FTSE 100 is difficult, index tracking is definitely simpler - buy tracker, put feet up, decide to sell and have your money as early as the next day. Whereas buying a BTL is trickier - find area, find house, find tenants, stop house falling down, find new tenants, decide to sell and wait at least 4-6 weeks possibly longer for cash. I doubt the figures quoted in that article include all the relevant fees.

    Best place to put your money under a Brown government? Best read the Telegraph once he's out office to find out :rolleyes:
    Anything posted is not given as advice but to help with a discussion.
  • Dithering_Dad
    Dithering_Dad Posts: 4,554 Forumite
    Mortgage-free Glee!
    Looks to me that the canny investor would have invested in BTL last decade and now be looking to move that money to the stockmarket for the next decade because it still has a way to go to its previous peak, while housing prices are starting to stagnate or slide.
    Mortgage Free in 3 Years (Apr 2007 / Currently / Δ Difference)
    [strike]● Interest Only Pt: £36,924.12 / £ - - - - 1.00 / Δ £36,923.12[/strike] - Paid off! Yay!! :)
    ● Home Extension: £48,468.07 / £44,435.42 / Δ £4032.65
    ● Repayment Part: £64,331.11 / £59,877.15 / Δ £4453.96
    Total Mortgage Debt: £149,723.30 / £104,313.57 / Δ £45,409.73
  • StevieJ
    StevieJ Posts: 20,174 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    amcluesent wrote: »
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/main.jhtml?xml=/money/2007/06/26/ccinv126.xml

    Interesting review of shares performance since May 1997, with all dividends reinvested your return was just 7% per annum.

    Investment in property under BTL would have seen a nine-fold return over the same period.

    Of course, past performance is no guide to the future!

    I suppose you could equally use the headline 'Why Buy to Let was a Lemon under John Major'
    'Just think for a moment what a prospect that is. A single market without barriers visible or invisible giving you direct and unhindered access to the purchasing power of over 300 million of the worlds wealthiest and most prosperous people' Margaret Thatcher
  • StevieJ
    StevieJ Posts: 20,174 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Looks to me that the canny investor would have invested in BTL last decade and now be looking to move that money to the stockmarket for the next decade because it still has a way to go to its previous peak, while housing prices are starting to stagnate or slide.

    UK stockmarket of course ( and not FTSE 250), I think most commentators have been singing the virtues of large cap stocks i.e. undervalued in relation to small.
    'Just think for a moment what a prospect that is. A single market without barriers visible or invisible giving you direct and unhindered access to the purchasing power of over 300 million of the worlds wealthiest and most prosperous people' Margaret Thatcher
  • sambessey
    sambessey Posts: 119 Forumite
    Looks to me that the canny investor would have invested in BTL last decade and now be looking to move that money to the stockmarket for the next decade because it still has a way to go to its previous peak, while housing prices are starting to stagnate or slide.
    Really? The FTSE 100 is about 200 points (3%) away from its all time high and the Dow Jones is trading around its highest levels ever.

    If you look at the P/E of FTSE100, then we still have a long way to go to reach the 40- odd index average we had before the .com bubble went pop.
  • JDinho
    JDinho Posts: 111 Forumite
    If you adjust the market for the effects of inflation then its a long way off its high, the DJIA is a bad index to use as a benchmark due it composition - the S&P500 is much better.

    The large caps seems better value as there is much less private equity money washing around these stocks, I believe most fund managers are positioning their funds away from the mid-small caps in preparation for a re-rating. Also if you exclude the p/e of the oober-caps then the the FTSE 100 is attractive compared to the 250.
    Anything posted is not given as advice but to help with a discussion.
  • EdInvestor
    EdInvestor Posts: 15,749 Forumite
    amcluesent wrote: »
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/main.jhtml?xml=/money/2007/06/26/ccinv126.xml

    Interesting review of shares performance since May 1997, with all dividends reinvested your return was just 7% per annum.


    Actually when you consider that from 2000-2003, the market sufffered the worst crash since the 1970s:eek: (there's usually one real nasty per generation) a 7% return is quite encouraging.
    Trying to keep it simple...;)
  • Jonbvn
    Jonbvn Posts: 5,562 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts
    It is interesting to note that the article actually concludes that the Government were somewhat of an irrelevance to investors.

    Quote from the last three paragraphs:

    As Tony Blair and Gordon Brown pass on the doorstep tomorrow they will be thinking of their legacies. But for investors they are an increasing irrelevance, and perhaps they always were.

    In May 1997, stocks were coming to the end of a prolonged bull run while house prices were only just emerging from a major slump.

    That starting point, rather than government policy, is what really determined their performance over the next 10 years.
    In case you hadn't already worked it out - the entire global financial system is predicated on the assumption that you're an idiot:cool:
  • amcluesent wrote: »
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/main.jhtml?xml=/money/2007/06/26/ccinv126.xml

    Interesting review of shares performance since May 1997, with all dividends reinvested your return was just 7% per annum.

    Investment in property under BTL would have seen a nine-fold return over the same period.

    Of course, past performance is no guide to the future!

    Well if you will just by trackers ;)

    I got 400% plus by investing in Property IT's less riskey that leverageing a BTL property.
    --
    My Blog
  • Dithering_Dad
    Dithering_Dad Posts: 4,554 Forumite
    Mortgage-free Glee!
    Originally Posted by Dithering Dad viewpost.gif
    Looks to me that the canny investor would have invested in BTL last decade and now be looking to move that money to the stockmarket for the next decade because it still has a way to go to its previous peak, while housing prices are starting to stagnate or slide.

    sambessey wrote: »
    Really? The FTSE 100 is about 200 points (3%) away from its all time high and the Dow Jones is trading around its highest levels ever.

    If you look at the P/E of FTSE100, then we still have a long way to go to reach the 40- odd index average we had before the .com bubble went pop.

    ??? are you saying that you think the FTSE is about to peak and a crash is on the way?? :huh:
    Mortgage Free in 3 Years (Apr 2007 / Currently / Δ Difference)
    [strike]● Interest Only Pt: £36,924.12 / £ - - - - 1.00 / Δ £36,923.12[/strike] - Paid off! Yay!! :)
    ● Home Extension: £48,468.07 / £44,435.42 / Δ £4032.65
    ● Repayment Part: £64,331.11 / £59,877.15 / Δ £4453.96
    Total Mortgage Debt: £149,723.30 / £104,313.57 / Δ £45,409.73
This discussion has been closed.
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