📨 Have you signed up to the Forum's new Email Digest yet? Get a selection of trending threads sent straight to your inbox daily, weekly or monthly!

Icesave- Martin is wrong.

Options
1568101115

Comments

  • earlgrey_3
    earlgrey_3 Posts: 583 Forumite
    Would agree there's been a huge amount of rubbish from saloon bar pundits pretending to be experts on international finance both about Icelandic and about UK banks.

    As a punter observing Northern Northern Rock it was obvious that what ultimately caused its demise was an old-fashioned bank run when confidence collapsed and not because it was involved in sub-prime mortgages.

    Sadly it can't be ignored that baseless or not, it's sentiment and lack of confidence that takes banks and currencies down regardless of underlying figures. The Icelandic krona has nose-dived largely because it was thought to be heading in that direction and that becomes self-fullfilling.

    UK savers were saved from loses in NR because the UK government politically couldn't allow that to happen to UK citizens. If the same happened to a foreign bank the reaction wouldn't be the same and so the question would be what reponsibility the home government felt towards the citizens of another country without votes.

    Whenever anyone places their money with someone else there's some degree of risk. That's why investors are prepared to accept lower rates from government stocks. Each investor has to assess the risk/benefit for their own situation.

    (I think it would also be useful if the PR person from Icesave who is obviously reading this thread and what calisto posted about the delays or stalling when he wanted to move his money from Icesave gave an explanation rather than just the platitudes.)
  • RayWolfe
    RayWolfe Posts: 3,045 Forumite
    1,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Earlgrey, can't you see that you're flogging a dead horse?
    There are people here who not only have entrenched opinions but also have a vested interest in shouting contrary opinions.
    Do you remember whistling in the dark when you were a nipper? Some people are still in that frame of mind.
    Thank you for your sensible caveats and let's all hope that, for the sake of all of us, that the concerns that you rightly raise, come to nothing.
  • ianmr65
    ianmr65 Posts: 596 Forumite
    earlgrey wrote: »
    .

    As a punter observing Northern Northern Rock it was obvious that what ultimately caused its demise was an old-fashioned bank run when confidence collapsed and not because it was involved in sub-prime mortgages.

    Indeed, it may have looked obvious, but sadly you were, and are wrong.

    What casused NR's demise was lack of liquidity, as they had backed off a lot of their non-prime asset base to the wholesale credit market, at high rates., and depended on that for their operational funding. Unfortunatly the credit market was siezing up. Due to the sub-prime crisis in the USA property market. So they were unable to write new wholesale loans, and soon they were unable to meet their margin calls, on the paper they had already written. Their funding sources dried up, and as they had very low liquid assets, and low deposit to loan ratio, so the word spread, that they had a massive liquidity problem.

    This is what caused the depositor run. And caused the goverment to step in with emergency funding, to the tune of £50bn over six months so they could continue to meet their margin calls, and run their business. Or what do you suppose that £50bn was spent on. Servicing depositor intrest?

    So far i know of only 3 banks that have recived emergency funding to meet margin calls.

    1) NR - Nationalised
    2) Bear Strearns - Bought out
    3) Hbos - saved by the skin of it's teeth.

    Having said this the BoE now make emergency funding to striken UK banks in secret.
  • bristolleedsfan
    bristolleedsfan Posts: 12,647 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    earlgrey wrote: »
    (I think it would also be useful if the PR person from Icesave who is obviously reading this thread and what calisto posted about the delays or stalling when he wanted to move his money from Icesave gave an explanation rather than just the platitudes.)


    Same Poster appears to have had a problem with ICICI as well, they say "lightning doesnt strike twice." :eek:


    http://forums.moneysavingexpert.com/showthread.html?t=830079&page=3
  • ianmr65
    ianmr65 Posts: 596 Forumite
    earlgrey wrote: »
    UK savers were saved from loses in NR because the UK government politically couldn't allow that to happen to UK citizens. If the same happened to a foreign bank the reaction wouldn't be the same and so the question would be )

    I assume you are refering to banks like:

    HSBC - The hong kong and shaghai bank corporation
    Abbey - which is owned by the spanish santander group.
    Barclays, the bulk of who's share holder are 'foreign' and which operates in 150 countries, with an American CEO, and chair.

    And who are all by a long way, far to big for the UK goverment to rescue.

    All a goverment can do is to try help stop a failure. If a bank is going down fast and hard nothing in the world is gonna stop it.

    Or do you think Gordon is going to wave a big magic wand?
  • earlgrey_3
    earlgrey_3 Posts: 583 Forumite
    ianmr65 wrote: »
    This is what caused the depositor run. And caused the goverment to step in with emergency funding,
    As I said, the ultimate demise was a result of savers losing confidence. Any bank is likely to have a liquidity problem when those who trust it with their money lose confidence regardless of the fundamentals. It may be unfair and arbitary but the way it is. That is the reason why the PR person from Iceland felt it so essential to post to this thread to help stem the loss of confidence.
    Same Poster appears to have had a problem with ICICI as well, they say "lightning doesnt strike twice."
    Not this one of course. :)
  • earlgrey_3
    earlgrey_3 Posts: 583 Forumite
    ianmr65 wrote: »
    I assume you are refering to banks like:

    HSBC - The hong kong and shaghai bank corporation
    Abbey - which is owned by the spanish santander group.
    Barclays, the bulk of who's share holder are 'foreign' and which operates in 150 countries, with an American CEO, and chair.

    And who are all by a long way, far to big for the UK goverment to rescue.

    All a goverment can do is to try help stop a failure. If a bank is going down fast and hard nothing in the world is gonna stop it.

    Or do you think Gordon is going to wave a big magic wand?
    Indeed the political calculations for different banks would be different. No surprise there.
  • Lavendyr
    Lavendyr Posts: 2,610 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    RayWolfe wrote: »
    Earlgrey, can't you see that you're flogging a dead horse?
    There are people here who not only have entrenched opinions but also have a vested interest in shouting contrary opinions.
    Do you remember whistling in the dark when you were a nipper? Some people are still in that frame of mind.
    Thank you for your sensible caveats and let's all hope that, for the sake of all of us, that the concerns that you rightly raise, come to nothing.
    If you read certain opinions and sources, there are certainly causes for concern. If you read certain other opinions and sources, there are also causes for reassurance. It all depends on who you listen to and what weighting you choose to give to the various opinions available, depending on how well qualified you believe them to be in making their assertions.

    Personally, I take on board all the opinions I can from a range of sources and evaluate them before coming to an opinion, but on balance, the sources and views to whom I lend the greatest credence also happen to be those which state that there is not great cause for concern if you have £35k or less with Icesave.
  • earlgrey_3
    earlgrey_3 Posts: 583 Forumite
    Lavendyr wrote: »
    there is not great cause for concern if you have £35k or less with Icesave.
    With that I doubt anyone would disagree. There is no doubt that at some point those with less than £35K would be compensated.
    RayWolfe wrote: »
    Earlgrey, can't you see that you're flogging a dead horse?
    There are people here who not only have entrenched opinions but also have a vested interest in shouting contrary opinions.
    Do you remember whistling in the dark when you were a nipper? Some people are still in that frame of mind.
    Thank you for your sensible caveats and let's all hope that, for the sake of all of us, that the concerns that you rightly raise, come to nothing.
    I think you're right Ray. :)

    I really don't want to spook or unduely influence anyone but does bother me when people are being told here that the statement from the Financial Services Compensation Scheme about possible complications was just their opinion and not worth more than anyone else's. Don't think it helps savers make sensible decisions either to circulate rumours about other institutions as some form of defence or post cartoons suggesting that NR is about to be sold off and anyone leaving Icesave is a lemming jumping to its death.

    Some would rather hear what they'd like to believe so kindest to let them do that. :)
  • StevieJ
    StevieJ Posts: 20,174 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    A question on the compensation scheme.

    Is it true that if Landesbank went belly up and the Iceland govt scheme could not afford to compensate then the UK scheme would cover full compensation?
    'Just think for a moment what a prospect that is. A single market without barriers visible or invisible giving you direct and unhindered access to the purchasing power of over 300 million of the worlds wealthiest and most prosperous people' Margaret Thatcher
This discussion has been closed.
Meet your Ambassadors

🚀 Getting Started

Hi new member!

Our Getting Started Guide will help you get the most out of the Forum

Categories

  • All Categories
  • 351.1K Banking & Borrowing
  • 253.2K Reduce Debt & Boost Income
  • 453.7K Spending & Discounts
  • 244.1K Work, Benefits & Business
  • 599.1K Mortgages, Homes & Bills
  • 177K Life & Family
  • 257.5K Travel & Transport
  • 1.5M Hobbies & Leisure
  • 16.1K Discuss & Feedback
  • 37.6K Read-Only Boards

Is this how you want to be seen?

We see you are using a default avatar. It takes only a few seconds to pick a picture.