Index vs managed funds the great war

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  • firestone
    firestone Posts: 520 Forumite
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    you would need to be more active but you always have to make a choice even if its in VLS,HSBC or L&GMI or which index you want to follow or bonds,equity etc
  • BananaRepublic
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    ivormonee wrote: »
    If active fund investors are delving into a level of detail that includes their consideration of how much of which sectors, whether large, mid or small caps, value orientated or growth, currency exposure, volatilty, etc. then really aren't they doing the job of the manager of the active fund, by definition of making a choice to populate their self-determined portfolio asset alloactions, who should be doing that very job for them?

    Not really. Traditionally active funds specialise in a market or a sector such as UK smaller companies, or technology. The investor decides which markets and/or sectors they want to go into, which in part determines the level of risk they are willing to accept. So I have some UK, European and Japanese smaller companies funds for example. UK and European markets are considered safer than many, but smaller companies are higher risk. I avoid China because rightly or wrongly I consider it too high risk. I avoid more specialised funds, such as technology, as I have decided that the managers of my funds should decide whether or not to invest in these sectors, and to what degree. I am not willing to do research, and so I have decided that I will buy a portfolio of funds from markets I feel comfortable investing in. I'm not saying this is the best approach, and it may not be a very good one, but it suits me and it has given me decent returns over the past few decades.

    In the past people have often done the same sort of thing with index funds, choosing the indices which they think are worth tracking.

    The Vanguard Life funds, which are the darling of this forum, are a bit unusual in that they invest in index funds over a range of markets, albeit predominantly the US.
  • TBC15
    TBC15 Posts: 1,456 Forumite
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    ivormonee wrote: »
    If active fund investors are delving into a level of detail that includes their consideration of how much of which sectors, whether large, mid or small caps, value orientated or growth, currency exposure, volatilty, etc. then really aren't they doing the job of the manager of the active fund, by definition of making a choice to populate their self-determined portfolio asset alloactions, who should be doing that very job for them?

    Not all conscious active investors are the same.

    Not all passive investors are the same.

    Generalising is where all the misinformation starts.
  • Audaxer
    Audaxer Posts: 3,512 Forumite
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    The Vanguard Life funds, which are the darling of this forum, are a bit unusual in that they invest in index funds over a range of markets, albeit predominantly the US.
    Trustnet shows that the VLS60 has 36.8% of its portfolio in the US, which doesn't seem too much to me.
  • bostonerimus
    bostonerimus Posts: 5,617 Forumite
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    We should be careful not to mix up active or passive investing with asset allocation. It is perfectly possible to overweight small cap or value etc using a pretty passive indexing approach. So first off decide if you are going to stick with a cap weighted allocation which will emphasize large cap stocks or go for the slice and dice approach. Then decide whether you want to use active or passive funds or a combination of them ie indexing for US equities and active for emerging markets or UK small cap etc
    “So we beat on, boats against the current, borne back ceaselessly into the past.”
  • bostonerimus
    bostonerimus Posts: 5,617 Forumite
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    The Vanguard Life funds, which are the darling of this forum, are a bit unusual in that they invest in index funds over a range of markets, albeit predominantly the US.

    I would say that they show a domestic bias and overweight UK equities rather than US.
    “So we beat on, boats against the current, borne back ceaselessly into the past.”
  • BananaRepublic
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    Audaxer wrote: »
    Trustnet shows that the VLS60 has 36.8% of its portfolio in the US, which doesn't seem too much to me.

    The VLS100 has 44% in the US and only 12.58 % in Europe excluding UK. The UK allocation is relatively high at 25%. Whether you agree with that, you need to be aware what you are getting.
  • BananaRepublic
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    I would say that they show a domestic bias and overweight UK equities rather than US.

    What you say is not contradicting what I have said, and yes they also show a UK domestic bias.

    As an aside, several pensions advisors over the decades suggested to me that roughly one third US, one third UK and one third Europe was a good equities split. I mention this as a comment on the UK advisors mentality in my experience.
  • ivormonee
    ivormonee Posts: 395 Forumite
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    The point was, looking back at some of the posts, that once an investor (passive or active) has decided what they'd like in their portfolio, ie. asset mix such as say UK equity 10%, Japan small cap 5%, corporate bond 5%, cow dung 5%, bananas 5%, etc., the next part of their decision-making process is/ was to establish how they would fulfil that asset allocation. I think we established, or at least it's well known, that for the passive investor, the job is to pick the tracker funds (or the ETFs) that cover the indexes for those parts of the asset allocation that they relate to. So, if you've already decided you want 10% in Japanese equity, you pick, say the XYZ Japanes Equity index fund.

    The question for active investors was how, once you've worked out what asset allocation you desire for your portfolio, based on all the factors we've talked about (risk predeliction, your opinion/ view on the PE ratio of US equities, the advice from your grandma/ neighbour/ cat...) how you then make your choices of active funds, from the entire universe of active funds (something like 3,000 or maybe more) to fill the asset allocation you've decided on.

    The answers in the posts in this thread suggested how different active investors go about this. Some look at performance (probably nearly everybody does) eg. as many discrete years as possible and/ or 1, 3, 5, 10 year performance etc, and indeed other factors (eg. is it a closet tracker, is the fund manager long-term consistent, do they have a glossy brochure, etc...). But then a lot of posters said they look at those funds' individual characteristics that I suggested were the domain of the fund manager whose job it is to make those decisions. That's why they get paid (by us/ you/ me). So if a manager feels that for Japan, for example, that now is the time for more value-orientated stocks to be overweighted, or that smaller/ larger companies would be better suited to the current tax regime of the country, or that the current economic conditions favour cyclical over healthcare, defensive over tech, etc. then those are the decisions for them to make in their fund, that they are managing, for all the active investors who subscribe to it.

    A key point is that we either believe in our fund managers and trust that they will make the right decisions based on their expertise (which includes their degree or other qualification(s) in portfolio management, the teams that back them up with research, other teams of people that provide insight on the economy, interest rates, inflation, wages growth, etc) or we don't. If we don't, we go passive. But if we do, the reasons for doing their job for them don't seem all that clear. We decide our asset mix (or our adviser/ wealth(y) manager, robo-cop, etc. does it for us if we're not DIY), and then we leave it to the active fund managers to deliver.
  • BananaRepublic
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    Ivormonee: Firstly I'd like to suggest that you increase your allocation of banana assets, 5% is far too low. Secondly, I'm with you, I leave stock choosing to the managers.

    However, I can understand that some investors might wish to delve deeper. If you believe, that bananas are becoming a bubble, with grossly inflated values, then you might decide to purposefully avoid funds overweighted in bananas. Yes I know that is second guessing the managers, but some might wish to do that. Alternatively you might discover that the underlying reason for a funds performance over the last ten years has been investment in bananas, which have shown a healthy growth. So you might decide that the fund is too dependent on one asset, and that its future was not good. Again this is second guessing the manager, but I can see that it is a valid approach. In fact its one step beyond checking for consistent performance over ten years. Not only are you checking that growth is not due to one or two lucky years, but you are also checking that it is not due to a lucky pick of a given sector, in this case delicious and nutritious bananas.

    Anyway, the thread title is misleading. It's not a war. Active and passive funds have a place. What is important is that the investor understands what she is buying sufficiently well to make a wise choice, be that passive or active. I am in agreement with Boston that index funds are probably safer, and a better choice for those unwilling or unable to learn, or who do not care, though even then they still require some care as some indices are rather volatile.
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