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Is it worth paying into a pension when you're aiming for early retirement?

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  • eskbanker
    eskbanker Posts: 37,307 Forumite
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    @Marcon Current situation is: We're 38/39. We have £300K in investments (S&S retirement tracker ISAs, premium bonds, fixed-term savings). We have £350K-ish house with no mortgage. We save around £80-85K per year which is unlikely to change.
    You mentioned an expectation of "£45K per year income which interest and draw down should give" but £300K won't last many years at that rate of depletion - I was assuming you had seven figures invested!  Having said that, another ten years of £80-85K would obviously change that equation, but if you're currently earning enough to save that sort of money, are you sure that £45K (gross) would be an adequate annual income once retired, i.e. have you modelled changes in spending patterns between now and then?
  • FIREwork86
    FIREwork86 Posts: 5 Forumite
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    eskbanker said:
    @Marcon Current situation is: We're 38/39. We have £300K in investments (S&S retirement tracker ISAs, premium bonds, fixed-term savings). We have £350K-ish house with no mortgage. We save around £80-85K per year which is unlikely to change.
    You mentioned an expectation of "£45K per year income which interest and draw down should give" but £300K won't last many years at that rate of depletion - I was assuming you had seven figures invested!  Having said that, another ten years of £80-85K would obviously change that equation, but if you're currently earning enough to save that sort of money, are you sure that £45K (gross) would be an adequate annual income once retired, i.e. have you modelled changes in spending patterns between now and then?

    I'm sorry if I wasn't clear. I mean we have £300K invested now which we don't touch at all. We add to this each year. The £45K income would be after the age of 48. At that point, we're hoping to have £900K-£1m saved which, between interest and drawing down should give us a £45K annual income. Sorry if I wasn't clear.

    Yes, I think £45K per year would be enough. At the moment, we spend about £25K per year. While our holiday expenditure will increase, work-related costs will disappear. So we feel an extra £20K on top of what we spend now should be ample. 


  • QrizB
    QrizB Posts: 18,373 Forumite
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    edited 14 January at 8:12PM
    The £45K income would be after the age of 48. At that point, we're hoping to have £900K-£1m saved which, between interest and drawing down should give us a £45K annual income.

    I'd suggest that a drawdown rate of 4.5-5% at age 48 could be rather optimistic. 3% might be more realistic.
    What success rate does eg. cFIREsim suggest when you model it?
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  • Bostonerimus1
    Bostonerimus1 Posts: 1,439 Forumite
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    edited 15 January at 12:55AM
    @Marcon Current situation is: We're 38/39. We have £300K in investments (S&S retirement tracker ISAs, premium bonds, fixed-term savings). We have £350K-ish house with no mortgage. We save around £80-85K per year which is unlikely to change.
    To be retiring at 48 you'll need enough in ISAs and GIAs to span the gap to pension and SP age. It's probably a good idea to use both pensions and ISAs as much as you can to maximize your tax saving opportunities. So you should be creating a spreadsheet or using something like cFIRESim to model you spending, portfolio balances and income generation. Historically to safely generate an index linked 45k from an equity and bond portfolio over a period of maybe 50 years you'll probably need 1.5M to 2M, but of course SP needs to be factored in.
    And so we beat on, boats against the current, borne back ceaselessly into the past.
  • HedgehogRulez
    HedgehogRulez Posts: 136 Forumite
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    Would you expect to have full SP entitlement by age 48? Something to consider
  • MEL1981
    MEL1981 Posts: 33 Forumite
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    One big factor for us is children. Without wanting to ask about your personal circumstances if you have young children then it might be a crystal ball for your outgoings as they become older and / or university kicks in. Will the 45k be enough to cover?

    Good luck with your plans and commitment to save for the next 10 years! 

    Mel
  • Ibrahim5
    Ibrahim5 Posts: 1,271 Forumite
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    edited 15 January at 8:42AM
    Student finance is weird. Say you budget £10k per year at university. If you are still working they get a £4767 loan. If you have retired they get a £10227 loan. The repayments are the same and according to Martin Lewis 83% will never pay it back. £20227 should be enough for living expenses even in London.
  • lisyloo
    lisyloo Posts: 30,077 Forumite
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    QrizB said:
    The £45K income would be after the age of 48. At that point, we're hoping to have £900K-£1m saved which, between interest and drawing down should give us a £45K annual income.

    I'd suggest that a drawdown rate of 4.5-5% at age 48 could be rather optimistic. 3% might be more realistic.
    What success rate does eg. cFIREsim suggest when you model it?
    I think we need to bear in mind this is a fixed period (48-67).
    A typical safe withdrawal rate caters for the fact that you don't know how long your going to live e.g. 30-40 years.
    I assumed this was the reason a higher rate was used.

  • GrubbyGirl_2
    GrubbyGirl_2 Posts: 960 Forumite
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    You're looking at £15k each looking OK in 19 years time except in 19 years time it won't look so great.  If you go back 19 years then £8,670 was equivalent to £15k today (Bank of England have a calculator) so my the time you retire your £15k will likely be half the value it is today
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