What does 'typical use' actually mean in specific amounts

Bluberry139

When Martin & others quote the predicted price rise for customers on 'typical use'... eg its predicted to rise in Jan to £4,200 per year for those on typical use.... anyone know how many KWh that actually represents? I've no way to know whether my usage is high/low or 'typical', so i dont know if the fix i been offered by BG is worth taking or not because i cant compare it. (the whole % over the price cap calculation is mathematically beyond me i'm afraid.)

So i just want to know whether the £3500 it predicted to rise to in oct followed by going up to £4,200 in Jan at typical useage will be roughly what i'll pay - in which is roughly the same over the yr, or if i use more than is 'typical' & therefore it would be worth it for me.

I have health issues needing extra power & am housebound so am guessing i use more than 'typical' but there is only one of me & i am quite frugal where i can be. I used 
15587kWh of gas and 2290kWh of electricity last yr. 

Mostly when you see 'typical use' phrases used somewhere on the page theres the detail of how much that actually is, but i cant find it anywhere

Mstty

3 bedroom property, 2-3 people using 12000kwh gas and 2900 kWh electricity a year.

Mrs_F_2017

Looking at your usage - you used more gas than ‘average’ but less electricity. 

Someone I’m sure will work out the numbers based on the predictions for you I’m sure. 

Bluberry139

thanks @Mrs_F_2017 & @Mstty

How did you know those figures? are they on a website somewhere?

When they say 'typical' do they mean 'average' then?

Sorry if that seems thick, but the 2 things mean something different to me. Average is middle of the road between high & low, but a 'typical' family might use more than the average, so i am confused

pochase

12000KWh gas and 2900KWh electricity is the typical usage that Ofgem uses for the calculation of the single cap figure. For the purpose of the cap it is an average.

It is not the average usage in UK, there are many average usages depending on house type, size,  members of the household and fuel type used for heating.

pochase

Here the calculations for your usage based on the latest predictions and our guesswork for unit rates.  Figures don't cater for any regional price differences.

Ultrasonic

@Bluberry139 just to say that you're right that 'typical' use figures really aren't particularly useful since the variation in use from one household to another can be HUGE. Doing calculations based on your own actual usage is the only way to really get a handle on what you'll be paying, as @pochase has had a go at for you. Note that this only applies if you're on a standard variable tariff, not if you are on a fixed term tariff.

YBR

@pochase Can you explain why your figures are not all increasing by the same proportion?
Just so that I can do similar calculations for my own usage.

pochase

@YBR
You mean gas price and electricity not going up by the same? That is because the predications see different increases for gas and electricity.

Here are the unit forecasts for the next year



This is based on the Cornwall Insights predictions from 09/08/2022.



As you can see the increase for electricity is over £400, while gas is only £270.

The CI predications with a split between gas is all you need to get the table with the rates.

You will find that the rate table is calculated by different people and posted immediately when there are new predictions.

Bluberry139

Thanks so much everyone, @pochase that is hugely kind of you to work all that out for me.

Can somebody please just check my maths here.... I do have some cognitive impairment so i'm never sure i've got it right & maths was never my strong suit...

So the fix BG are offering me works out at £325 p month (£3900 for 12 months).

I currently pay £169m so in the nxt 12 months i'll have
2 months at current rate          169 =338
3 months at the oct cap of       316 =948
7 months at Jan cap minimum 376 =2632 (assuming the prediction is correct & the april cap doesnt rise higher) which totals £3918

So if i fix now, in total over the next 12 months i'll pay £20 less than the price cap... IF the prdiction is correct & IF it doesnt rise again after the January rise.
Which i'm guessing it will? It seems a bit unrealistic to think it wont keep rising at least a bit? 

They say i can go back onto the variable tariff without fees if i want to at any time during the period of the fix, so it doesnt feel like i have much to lose by fixing.

Does anyone else have any thoughts on that? 

Bluberry139

Just to add that the fix they offering me is

Gas SC 24.48p per day, unit 15.72p per kwh
Elec SC 26.942p day      unit 55.128 per kwh

its all greek to me, as they say  I am so hugely grateful for your input here, i cant make head or tail of half of it, too complex