Air source heat pump vs gas heating?

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So
Electric heating is 100% efficient, which may not be as true for gas given efficiency losses in the pipes
https://www.edfenergy.com/heating/advice/electric-vs-gas-heating-whats-best#:~:text=So, is electric or gas,use is turned into heat.
Heat pumps I believe typically have a COP of 3. With this in mind, would an ASHP reduce energy bills for heating if it's currently a well insulated house with gas heating ? Or would they actually go up?
Would I basically need to rip out the boiler too?
Electric heating is 100% efficient, which may not be as true for gas given efficiency losses in the pipes
https://www.edfenergy.com/heating/advice/electric-vs-gas-heating-whats-best#:~:text=So, is electric or gas,use is turned into heat.
Heat pumps I believe typically have a COP of 3. With this in mind, would an ASHP reduce energy bills for heating if it's currently a well insulated house with gas heating ? Or would they actually go up?
Would I basically need to rip out the boiler too?
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2.72kWp PV facing SSW installed Jan 2012. 11 x 247w panels, 2.5kw inverter. 28MWh generated, long-term average 2.6 Os.
If its a stand alone ASHP as above probably not
Solar Immersion installed May 2013, after two Solar Immersion lasting just over the guarantee period replaced with Solic 200... no problems since.
13 Feb 2020 LUX AC 3600 and 3 X Pylon Tech 3.5 kW batteries added...
Install 2: Sept 19, 600W SSE
Solax 6.3kWh battery
Most gas and oil boilers are over-rated with regards to providing the necessary heating so might be able to cope better during a harsh winter. But my installer told me that during a severe cold spell his ASHP kept going when his neighbours' external oil boilers froze and stopped working. And although we have cold spells sometimes, I don't think we have had a harsh winter since the 1960s.
Assuming an export payment of about 5p/kWh for the excess solar generation, and a COP of 4 (air temps outside of peak winter are higher), that's a cost/kWh(t) of about 1.25p.
For general PV advice please see the PV FAQ thread on the Green & Ethical Board.
Install 2: Sept 19, 600W SSE
Solax 6.3kWh battery