Gamble or not to gamble?

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Current situation - on a 6 month secondment which is a substantial payrise from my substantive role. Im really enjoying the job and the team is great. Its been hinted at that the job could become permanant. And from the way the department runs, most people who start on a secondment get made permanant. But of course no guarantee
Now another job has been advertised in another department. Pay is the same but its permanant. Going on the job spec its similar to what i do now, but not sure i would enjoy it as much
So do i take the gamble and stay where i am, in a job i know i like in the hope it gets made permanant. Or go for the other job that is permanant but may not enjoy it as much? I am leaning towards staying and hoping but wish crystal balls worked
Now another job has been advertised in another department. Pay is the same but its permanant. Going on the job spec its similar to what i do now, but not sure i would enjoy it as much
So do i take the gamble and stay where i am, in a job i know i like in the hope it gets made permanant. Or go for the other job that is permanant but may not enjoy it as much? I am leaning towards staying and hoping but wish crystal balls worked
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How much have you had to learn to do the job in the secondment? Are you fully up to speed/independently working or still learning the ropes?
Apologies, I have not expressed that very well, but hope you get the idea.
Kind Regards,
Bill
Im independently working now. Although bit of an odd one because just as i started we got a whole bunch of new work dumped on us that is new for everyone. So in a way thats helped because everyone is in the same boat and all learning the new task together. I wast hired to complete this task, it just happened to appear as i started.
Once this task is out the way in a few month then i will have to be trained up on stuff that the department usually does day to day
I'm a contractor and so a gambler when it comes to jobs anyway so I would probably gamble that the secondment becomes perm or at least some other similar opportunity will come up in c3 months time which I could apply for. If these types of jobs are as rare as hens teeth then maybe take a different route but with 11 years as a contractor only one gamble hasn't paid off and I was out of work for 6 weeks.
The department im in is ever growing and currently short staffed so signs are promising
Only the manager involved can answer that question. It all depends on company policy.