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Solar Generation - Forecasting vs Actuals

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  • mickyduck55
    mickyduck55 Posts: 676 Forumite
    Fifth Anniversary 500 Posts Name Dropper
    edited 1 February 2021 at 10:04PM
    In month of Jan my 6.6kw e/w system managed 70kwh.

    I'm a fair bit further north, but essentially what I'm saying is Jan is a chappy month regardless.
    Wait till you get to April...

    This January was "extra" crappy... but re my first reply annually not a lot in it
    3.995kWP SSW facing. Commissioned 7 July 2011. 24 degree pitch (£3.36 /W).
    17 Yingli 235 panels
    Sunnyboy 4000TL inverter
    Sunny Webox
    Solar Immersion installed May 2013, after two Solar Immersion lasting just over the guarantee period replaced with Solic 200... no problems since.

    13 Feb 2020 LUX AC 3600 and 3 X Pylon Tech 3.5 kW batteries added...

    20 January 2024 Daikin ASHP installed
  • jimjames
    jimjames Posts: 18,686 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
    If it helps this shows the generation over the last 10 years from my 3kWp system in SE England. The numbers at least show the difference between the months which may be of use. It's probably about as high as you're likely to get as we're virtually south facing with zero shade and good panel angle.

    http://solar-panels-review.321web.co.uk/index.php/solar-power-month-by-month
    Remember the saying: if it looks too good to be true it almost certainly is.
  • The PVIS in my case is very close to reality
    PVIS expectation for January is 120.9 the average over 10 years 119.75

    3.995kWP SSW facing. Commissioned 7 July 2011. 24 degree pitch (£3.36 /W).
    17 Yingli 235 panels
    Sunnyboy 4000TL inverter
    Sunny Webox
    Solar Immersion installed May 2013, after two Solar Immersion lasting just over the guarantee period replaced with Solic 200... no problems since.

    13 Feb 2020 LUX AC 3600 and 3 X Pylon Tech 3.5 kW batteries added...

    20 January 2024 Daikin ASHP installed
  • Thanks everyone for your responses. Gives me confidence that things are on the right path 👍

    Regards, CT
    12.71kW PV system - 33 panels of JA solar JAM60S20-385/MR facing S-E(18) / N-W (15) with Growatt SPH-6000 and Growatt MIN 6000TL-X inverters, 4 ML33RTA 3.3kWh batteries, Shinephone monitor app and Solar iBoost+. All in the historic, grand old city of Milton Keynes.

    3.84kW PV system - 16 panels of Sharp ND-R240A2 facing SE with SMA 4000TL inverter, Geo II monitor and Solar iBoost. All in the historic, grand old city of Milton Keynes.
  • Petriix
    Petriix Posts: 2,297 Forumite
    Ninth Anniversary 1,000 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
    East/West systems are always going to be worse in winter due to the low sun. You're just not getting much sunlight on the panels until the sun gets a little higher in the sky. 
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