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Pension forecast
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rizzo_2
Posts: 25 Forumite


Does his sound right to you? If you have a pension pot of £45k, and retire at 65, the monthly pension payment would be £94 per month. Just had hubby’s pension forecast and that seems low to me.
Thanks in advance for any replies.
Thanks in advance for any replies.
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Comments
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It is not a forecast. it is a projection.
A forecast is something that is likely to happen. Projections are synthetic using a range of assumptions that more not reflect reality.
If you have a pension pot of £45k, and retire at 65, the monthly pension payment would be £94 per month. Just had hubby’s pension forecast and that seems low to me.
1 - its likely usiing a growth rate less than would be expected
2 - it will have a 2.0% deduction per annum to give you a real terms value (i.e. spending power today, not what it will be valued at 65)
3 - it will assume a low annuity rate (usually joint with indexation - a type that barely anyone bought)
£45k at 3.5% (a sustainable draw rate) would be £131pm. If you accept some erosion to the value then closer to £150pm.I am an Independent Financial Adviser (IFA). The comments I make are just my opinion and are for discussion purposes only. They are not financial advice and you should not treat them as such. If you feel an area discussed may be relevant to you, then please seek advice from an Independent Financial Adviser local to you.0 -
rizzo_2 said:Does his sound right to you? If you have a pension pot of £45k, and retire at 65, the monthly pension payment would be £94 per month. Just had hubby’s pension forecast and that seems low to me.
Thanks in advance for any replies.
1 -
If it helps. My pension pot is £220K (well, that is the "transfer value" so assume the same thing) and the projection on that is £646 pm. Based on me retiring at 65, which is in seven years time.0
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dunstonh said:It is not a forecast. it is a projection.
A forecast is something that is likely to happen. Projections are synthetic using a range of assumptions that more not reflect reality.
If you have a pension pot of £45k, and retire at 65, the monthly pension payment would be £94 per month. Just had hubby’s pension forecast and that seems low to me.
1 - its likely usiing a growth rate less than would be expected
2 - it will have a 2.0% deduction per annum to give you a real terms value (i.e. spending power today, not what it will be valued at 65)
3 - it will assume a low annuity rate (usually joint with indexation - a type that barely anyone bought)
£45k at 3.5% (a sustainable draw rate) would be £131pm. If you accept some erosion to the value then closer to £150pm.
7
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