Debate House Prices


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GDP small increase

Just 0.6% but in september/ october the economy is flat lining. Has spread sheet Phil missed an opportunity to inject some life into an economy that is ailing?

Comments

  • Masomnia
    Masomnia Posts: 19,506 Forumite
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    Compared to 0.2% in the Eurozone, so can't be that bad.
    “I could see that, if not actually disgruntled, he was far from being gruntled.” - P.G. Wodehouse
  • Thrugelmir
    Thrugelmir Posts: 89,546 Forumite
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    edited 9 November 2018 at 11:57PM
    venison wrote: »
    Just 0.6% but in september/ october the economy is flat lining. Has spread sheet Phil missed an opportunity to inject some life into an economy that is ailing?

    Subsequent revisions in ONS stats tend to be upwards. Not all the data is in yet.

    Some companies only file annual returns. As the nature of the business is seasonal. Therefore monthly figures have no direct correlation with the previous years. In the agricultural sector we used to file estimated flash figures on a quarterly basis then file annual figures on one return. All 60 odd pages of it! The detail required couldn't just be lifted out of the annual accounts either.

    Phil's budget is for next and future years. Levers are pulled well in advance. Economies aren't racing cars. More like oil supertankers slow and cumbersome to turn around.
  • Masomnia wrote: »
    Compared to 0.2% in the Eurozone, so can't be that bad.

    Compared to a negative figure by Germany it's definitely not bad.
    PLUS we are the only ones leaving the EU.
    So far.
    ;)
  • Thrugelmir
    Thrugelmir Posts: 89,546 Forumite
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    Masomnia wrote: »
    Compared to 0.2% in the Eurozone, so can't be that bad.

    Look at how much more QE has been pumped into the system than both the UK and the USA. Likewise the Eurozone is becoming less and less influential in world trade terms.
  • movilogo
    movilogo Posts: 3,235 Forumite
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    Remainers would soon say:

    It is because we haven't left EU yet. :D
    Happiness is buying an item and then not checking its price after a month to discover it was reduced further.
  • Thrugelmir
    Thrugelmir Posts: 89,546 Forumite
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    movilogo wrote: »
    Remainers would soon say:

    It is because we haven't left EU yet. :D

    The UK does trade outside of the EU as well.
  • sevenhills
    sevenhills Posts: 5,938 Forumite
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    The European Union GDP Annual Growth rate is higher than ours, it has been above 2% since 2016, where as the UK growth rate has been below 2%; one months growth rate will not change that.
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