Debate House Prices


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Interest rate rise?

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Comments

  • System
    System Posts: 178,355 Community Admin
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    I don't think anyone can, in all seriousness, claim rising interest rates and contracting liquidity are economically irrelevant.
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  • eidand
    eidand Posts: 1,023 Forumite
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    even if the interest rates go up, it will be another 0.25% rise. I don't see that as any kind of issue, but YMMV
  • westernpromise
    westernpromise Posts: 4,833 Forumite
    A quarter of a per cent is economically irrelevant until / unless it translates into a rise in retail mortgage rates. Even then it may have no effect. Banks are in the business of lending; if not enough are borrowing, they have the option of cutting their margins. Base rates could go up while mortgage rates fall, for example.
  • System
    System Posts: 178,355 Community Admin
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    0.25% would be a 50% increase to the current base rate. In the world of global capital flows and macro economics, where a sliver can make the difference between success or failure, profit or loss, that is a huge jump.
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  • hazyjo
    hazyjo Posts: 15,475 Forumite
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    You'd have been better off getting this thread moved rather than opening another one and having two threads going...
    2024 wins: *must start comping again!*
  • eidand
    eidand Posts: 1,023 Forumite
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    Except we're not talking about global capital flow here, we're talking specifically housing market. Anyone who takes on a mortgage won't be in a position to not afford it, if it interest rates go up as that would be madness right?
    Why exactly do you expect a crisis to happen just because the interest rates go up a little?
  • System
    System Posts: 178,355 Community Admin
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    0.25% would be a 50% increase to the current base rate. In the world of global capital flows and macro economics, where a sliver can make the difference between profit or loss, that is a huge jump. Macro-economics feed down to micro-economics. The housing market does not operate in isolation, as an island immune from the macro-economic picture.
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  • System
    System Posts: 178,355 Community Admin
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    Macro-economics feed down to micro-economics. The housing market does not operate in isolation, as an island immune from the macro-economic picture.
    This is a system account and does not represent a real person. To contact the Forum Team email forumteam@moneysavingexpert.com
  • System
    System Posts: 178,355 Community Admin
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    edited 16 July 2018 at 12:07PM
    I don't expect a crisis, I would just expect a further shift down in sentiment in an already stagnant market. An interest rate rise would not boost sentiment. Quite the opposite.
    This is a system account and does not represent a real person. To contact the Forum Team email forumteam@moneysavingexpert.com
  • ctlfc
    ctlfc Posts: 21 Forumite
    I can't find anything on Bloomberg regarding interest rates today, do you have a link?
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