Debate House Prices


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Halifax: House prices -3.1% in April

Options
Biggest monthly fall since September 2010.

Noise and all that. But a big swing whichever way you look at it.

http://www.cityam.com/285417/halifax-uk-house-prices-tumbled-31-per-cent-april-property

Comments

  • HAMISH_MCTAVISH
    HAMISH_MCTAVISH Posts: 28,592 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    Might be the start of something, might not....

    From the article you linked to....
    In the last three months to April, house prices were up 2.2 per cent compared to the same three months last year

    With the usual caveats re monthly noise, local variations, etc.
    “The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.

    Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”

    -- President John F. Kennedy”
  • mayonnaise
    mayonnaise Posts: 3,690 Forumite
    With the economy slowly grinding to a halt (Q1/18 +0.1% :eek:), I don't expect house prices to go anywhere else but down.
    Don't blame me, I voted Remain.
  • AG47
    AG47 Posts: 1,618 Forumite
    The perms prop bulls used to be saying it's slowing down,

    Well it more than just slowing down down, 3%+ falls and gaining momentum on a slippery slope.

    Interest rates going back up, and cash strapped governments looking to tax property more nd more

    Doesn't look good for the perma prop bulls
    Nothing has been fixed since 2008, it was just pushed into the future
  • bobbymotors
    bobbymotors Posts: 746 Forumite
    We're all doomed. ask crashy. Houses that were £500,000 in January will be £125,000 by next January.

    There will be no crash. There will be up and downs. There my even be bigger downs than ups in the future: but no crash, not unless you're crashy.
  • triathlon
    triathlon Posts: 969 Forumite
    500 Posts Second Anniversary
    Biggest monthly fall since September 2010.

    Noise and all that. But a big swing whichever way you look at it.

    http://www.cityam.com/285417/halifax-uk-house-prices-tumbled-31-per-cent-april-property


    Selective posting, and how many times have Halifax shown a fall in monthly figures since 2010, less than the fingers on your hand I bet. And how many times a yearly fall, NONE.
    OK, i can see things flat lining for a few months, maybe all of 2018, but it will take off again in 2019, see wage growth is now bigger than inflation, things are just getting better.
  • In all fairness Triathlon it was a large drop, 2nd biggest since the last 'crash'. However it means little on its own, could just as easily see a 1.5 rise next month as a 1.5 drop.

    Longer term, I think prices are going to be pegged to wage inflation, unless the govt change policy one way or the other. Interest rate rises will probably also hold things back but not to the extent it in itself causes a Crash like the HPC crew pray.
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