Debate House Prices


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stocks and shares/FTSE iminent

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Comments

  • chucknorris
    chucknorris Posts: 10,793 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper
    GreatApe wrote: »
    Gold might be a good bet because of India.
    The Indians love gold and in 25 years time India could be 10x real GDP in dollars.

    Currently an ounce of gold is about one years wages in India this will go down to 1 months wages (if gold only tracks inflation) which will probably add a lot of demand. Same more or less applies to Pakistan so about 2 billion people just there.

    2 billion gold lovers who's dollar income is going to grow an average 10% nominal a year. My guess would be $5-10k per ounce in today's money by 2050 but I wouldn't put more than 10% of my total net worth on it.

    I'm not really interested in speculating though, I'm not saying that it isn't any good, just that it isn't any good for me.
    Chuck Norris can kill two stones with one birdThe only time Chuck Norris was wrong was when he thought he had made a mistakeChuck Norris puts the "laughter" in "manslaughter".I've started running again, after several injuries had forced me to stop
  • LdnFtB
    LdnFtB Posts: 100 Forumite
    GreatApe wrote: »
    Gold might be a good bet because of India.
    The Indians love gold and in 25 years time India could be 10x real GDP in dollars.

    Currently an ounce of gold is about one years wages in India this will go down to 1 months wages (if gold only tracks inflation) which will probably add a lot of demand. Same more or less applies to Pakistan so about 2 billion people just there.

    2 billion gold lovers who's dollar income is going to grow an average 10% nominal a year.

    There's a lot of ifs, coulds, probably and mights in there. I think a stronger proposition than speculating on gold futures is to simply own an index fund. As the Indian economy and middle class grows so will the index - and no need to try and pick individual companies or assets that might win or lose in a foreign culture and country.
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