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Should I bank this years huge increase in pension

As everyone is probable aware pensions have risen almost 30% in the last 12 months. With experts saying the stock market is over priced should a person bank this years rise and transfer the pot to a lower risk pension for a year knowing that the market is sure to turn or should you ride out the storm
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Comments

  • bostonerimus
    bostonerimus Posts: 5,617 Forumite
    Sixth Anniversary 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    I would never recommend trying to time the market. But you might want to rebalance your portfolio if it has shifted from it's set allocation. All through 2007 and 2008 I was selling bonds to buy stocks as the stock market fell. In hindsight that looks like a smart move.....when all I was doing was rebalancing.
    “So we beat on, boats against the current, borne back ceaselessly into the past.”
  • nickcc
    nickcc Posts: 2,265 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Thought for a minute that the OP was talking about the state pension, mind you I'm just grateful for whatever tiny increase I get before the hurry up and die brigade comment.
  • atush
    atush Posts: 18,731 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper
    How old are you? When will you retire?

    If retiring soon, sure you should bank profits and be restructuring to a lower volatility. Maybe should have done so already.

    But if you are 35-40 and wont retire for 20 years, no. Keep on putting in money monthly, dont worry about current market swings (if youare diversified as you should be).

    Look up pound/cost averaging.
  • AnotherJoe
    AnotherJoe Posts: 19,622 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Fifth Anniversary Name Dropper Photogenic
    atush wrote: »
    How old are you? When will you retire?

    If retiring soon, sure you should bank profits and be restructuring to a lower volatility. Maybe should have done so already.

    But if you are 35-40 and wont retire for 20 years, no. Keep on putting in money monthly, dont worry about current market swings (if you are diversified as you should be).

    Look up pound/cost averaging.

    I'm retiring tomorrow. Are you suggesting i should sell up and buy, I dunno, say VLS20 even though i will likely be invested another 20 years?
  • farmhillb
    farmhillb Posts: 5 Forumite
    50 years old this year paying in around £3600 a year. This year pension has risen £30,000. Should I switch this now trying to guess the market will fall soon?
  • PeacefulWaters
    PeacefulWaters Posts: 8,495 Forumite
    farmhillb wrote: »
    50 years old this year paying in around £3600 a year. This year pension has risen £30,000. Should I switch this now trying to guess the market will fall soon?

    When do you plan to retire and actually utilise some of this fund?

    With a life expectancy of another 40 years or so I'd be cautious about making short term decisions. But if you want to draw 25% of your pot out in five years then some ring fencing of that in lower risk assets may not be unreasonable.
  • farmhillb
    farmhillb Posts: 5 Forumite
    thanks for input folks. One other thing when people talk about diversifying what is the normal / average way people diversify. Is it as simple as 25% low risk, 50% medium risk and 25% high risk or is there some other method of leveling out the risk associated with trying to grow a pension. As it stands now I have my pot split between 2 equity funds, one uk based the other US based. Both are in a medium risk 5 out of 8 rating. Thoughts please
  • PeacefulWaters
    PeacefulWaters Posts: 8,495 Forumite
    farmhillb wrote: »
    thanks for input folks. One other thing when people talk about diversifying what is the normal / average way people diversify. Is it as simple as 25% low risk, 50% medium risk and 25% high risk or is there some other method of leveling out the risk associated with trying to grow a pension. As it stands now I have my pot split between 2 equity funds, one uk based the other US based. Both are in a medium risk 5 out of 8 rating. Thoughts please
    There are a million shades of grey. It's as simple or as complex as you like.

    Answering the questions posed in post #7 may open up contributions from others with more specific thoughts for your circumstances.
  • Keep_pedalling
    Keep_pedalling Posts: 21,543 Forumite
    Tenth Anniversary 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    AnotherJoe wrote: »
    I'm retiring tomorrow. Are you suggesting i should sell up and buy, I dunno, say VLS20 even though i will likely be invested another 20 years?

    We are both in early retirement, with 3/5ths of out income coming from FS and state pensions and the rest from drawing down from our savings, which are currently 60/40 equities/bonds, but we have decided, after consulting our IFA, to go the opposite way to to the OPs suggestion and switch to 100% equities.

    We will also keep a 2 year emergency cash fund that can be called on to replace the draw down on equities, if, or more likely when, the market takes a dive so we are not having to sell at the bottom of the market to maintain our lifestyle. Seems like a good plan for the next couple of decades.

    I must admit having rock solid pensions providing a good chunk of our income makes this a lot easier decision, especially for my far more cautious better half.
  • aldershot
    aldershot Posts: 210 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 100 Posts
    Be careful how you rate risk. The days of Equity = higher risk and bonds = lower risk are over in a world of near zero interest rates. Global equity indices are trading lower because bonds are trading lower.
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