Debate House Prices


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Meanwhile in China....

189101214

Comments

  • Generali
    Generali Posts: 36,411 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Some numbers from JP Morgan, quoted on the FT Alphaville blog (my bold):
    The median return of the China A-shares over 12 months to the market peak on 12 June is 200%. 185 companies are in the top 10 percentile; the median return is 410%. These companies declined by 57% from the peak on 12 June to 7 July.



    SHCOMP, SZCOMP and Chinext [the three main stock indices in China] were down 28%, 38% and 40% during the same period…


    As of 8 July 2015, 1,347 companies, or 40% of A-share free-float market cap, are not trading, up from 431 companies on 12 June 2015.


    All A shares, excluding 764 suspended stocks, declined by 48% on average from the peak on 12 June to 7 July.



    Sector-wise, all sectors declined more than 40% from 12 June to 7 July. Telecom dropped the most at 52%, following by Materials (-50%), IT (-49%), and Industrials (-49%).


    Over 1,000 companies have declined by more than 9% in eight trading days since 12 June. The normal daily price limit is 10% for A shares [there are about 1850 shares trading on the main three indices].
  • Gavin234
    Gavin234 Posts: 92 Forumite
    Does anyone know if Jim Rogers the billionaire got out of Chinese stocks already? I know he was so bullish he said some of his China stocks he would never ever sell.
  • Generali
    Generali Posts: 36,411 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Gavin234 wrote: »
    Does anyone know if Jim Rogers the billionaire got out of Chinese stocks already? I know he was so bullish he said some of his China stocks he would never ever sell.

    4 days ago he was still recommending China, Japan and Russia as destinations for your investments.

    http://jimtalksmarkets.blogspot.com.au/2015/07/q-what-do-you-like-globally-as-far-as.html
  • mwpt
    mwpt Posts: 2,502 Forumite
    Sixth Anniversary Combo Breaker
    I just can't quite believe the fix to all this is to make it even easier for people to borrow money to invest int he chinese stock market. I just feel for the poor saps who will be brainwashed enough to carry it out.

    Like I said earlier in this thread, INTERVENTION in markets everywhere. Things can only ever go up. House prices might come down? No problem, drop interest rates, print money, FLS, HTBx.

    EDIT: Central banks : socialising speculator losses since 2008.
  • Generali
    Generali Posts: 36,411 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    mwpt wrote: »
    Like I said earlier in this thread, INTERVENTION in markets everywhere. Things can only ever go up. House prices might come down? No problem, drop interest rates, print money, FLS, HTBx.

    EDIT: Central banks : socialising speculator losses since [STRIKE]2008[/STRIKE] 1720.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/South_Sea_Company

    HTH. :)
  • cells
    cells Posts: 5,246 Forumite
    Generali wrote: »
    Some numbers from JP Morgan, quoted on the FT Alphaville blog (my bold):


    How can it be seen as anything other than a mild correction to a overheated market when the index is still some 90% above what it was just a year ago.

    This has probably been a good thing to pop now and teach the Chinese gamblers that it's not a one way bet or even a bet at all it should be investing in the underlying company and its current and assumes future earnings.
  • Generali wrote: »
    4 days ago he was still recommending China, Japan and Russia as destinations for your investments.

    http://jimtalksmarkets.blogspot.com.au/2015/07/q-what-do-you-like-globally-as-far-as.html


    Well Jim Rogers would say that if he has just lost a ton of money and wants others to start buying in to stop it falling anymore.
  • Generali
    Generali Posts: 36,411 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    cells wrote: »
    How can it be seen as anything other than a mild correction to a overheated market when the index is still some 90% above what it was just a year ago.

    This has probably been a good thing to pop now and teach the Chinese gamblers that it's not a one way bet or even a bet at all it should be investing in the underlying company and its current and assumes future earnings.

    Perhaps it's a mild correction.

    Bubbles don't tend to correct mildly.
  • stator
    stator Posts: 7,441 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    Reminds me of some of the people in the UK who mortgaged their home to use as a deposit for 6 buy to let flats prior to 2007 as their 'retirement plan'. Now they're left with 7 mortgages they can't service and no retirement income.
    Collective hysteria is still amongst us.
    Changing the world, one sarcastic comment at a time.
  • cells
    cells Posts: 5,246 Forumite
    stator wrote: »
    Reminds me of some of the people in the UK who mortgaged their home to use as a deposit for 6 buy to let flats prior to 2007 as their 'retirement plan'. Now they're left with 7 mortgages they can't service and no retirement income.
    Collective hysteria is still amongst us.



    did they got one of those -0.5% BOE trackers so have no mortgage to service and are below 65 so don't yet receive a pension?
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