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E: 09/08/07 5x Black Swan Books
emmedi
Posts: 3,311 Forumite
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Startling, profound and universal, The Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb will change the way you look at the world.
For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, bestselling author of Fooled by Randomness, Black Swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions, to events in our own personal lives.
A Black Swan is a highly improbable event with three principle characteristics: its unpredictability; its massive impact; and, after it has happened, our desire to make it appear less random and more predictable than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11.
Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of Black Swans? Why are we unable to estimate risk: falling vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate and categorize, rather than opening ourselves up to the 'impossible'? For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do, restricting our knowledge to the irrelevant and inconsequential, so that large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. We may even be hard-wired to learn specifics when we should be focused on generalities. Now in this revelatory book, he explains everything we know about what we don�t know.
Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. The Black Swan is a landmark book - itself a Black Swan.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge. Part literary essayist, part empiricist, part no-nonsense mathematical trader, he is currently the Dean's Professor in the Sciences of Uncertainty at the University of Massachusetts at Amherst. His last book, the bestseller Fooled by Randomness, has been published in eighteen languages. Taleb lives (mostly) in New York. We are giving away 5x Black Swan Books. For your chance to win simply complete the following:
What is a 'Black Swan' <input name="CompetitionID" id="CompetitionID" value="519" type="hidden"> <table> <form method="post" action="http://www.thestudentzone.com/competitions/entercomp.php"></form> <tbody><tr> <td class="companswer"><input name="AnswerValue" id="AnswerValue" value="1173" type="radio"> An African predatory bird</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="companswer"><input name="AnswerValue" id="AnswerValue" value="1174" type="radio"> An unexpected event:T</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="companswer"><input name="AnswerValue" id="AnswerValue" value="1175" type="radio"> A disease</td> </tr> <tr> <td align="center">
</td> </tr> </tbody></table> Competition closes on the 9th Aug 2007.
Startling, profound and universal, The Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb will change the way you look at the world.
For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, bestselling author of Fooled by Randomness, Black Swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions, to events in our own personal lives.
A Black Swan is a highly improbable event with three principle characteristics: its unpredictability; its massive impact; and, after it has happened, our desire to make it appear less random and more predictable than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11.
Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of Black Swans? Why are we unable to estimate risk: falling vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate and categorize, rather than opening ourselves up to the 'impossible'? For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do, restricting our knowledge to the irrelevant and inconsequential, so that large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. We may even be hard-wired to learn specifics when we should be focused on generalities. Now in this revelatory book, he explains everything we know about what we don�t know.Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. The Black Swan is a landmark book - itself a Black Swan.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge. Part literary essayist, part empiricist, part no-nonsense mathematical trader, he is currently the Dean's Professor in the Sciences of Uncertainty at the University of Massachusetts at Amherst. His last book, the bestseller Fooled by Randomness, has been published in eighteen languages. Taleb lives (mostly) in New York. We are giving away 5x Black Swan Books. For your chance to win simply complete the following:
What is a 'Black Swan' <input name="CompetitionID" id="CompetitionID" value="519" type="hidden"> <table> <form method="post" action="http://www.thestudentzone.com/competitions/entercomp.php"></form> <tbody><tr> <td class="companswer"><input name="AnswerValue" id="AnswerValue" value="1173" type="radio"> An African predatory bird</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="companswer"><input name="AnswerValue" id="AnswerValue" value="1174" type="radio"> An unexpected event:T</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="companswer"><input name="AnswerValue" id="AnswerValue" value="1175" type="radio"> A disease</td> </tr> <tr> <td align="center">
</td> </tr> </tbody></table> Competition closes on the 9th Aug 2007.
2017 wins over £50: Yorkshire break, Tefal Actifry
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