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The End of the Beginning for QE in the US...?

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Comments

  • chewmylegoff
    chewmylegoff Posts: 11,469 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    michaels wrote: »
    Wow - I had not realised until now - I will sell my house, liquidate all my assets and buy physical silver....thanks digger.

    It's the right thing to do. I recommend using the silver to build a house with which you can then live in, saving on both accomodation costs and your bank vault fee.
  • DiggerUK wrote: »
    .......are two sides of the same debased coin.

    QE debases the currency, debasement always leads to inflation. It hasn't got out of hand for now, that's all.

    Overcapacity and cheap labour is what's keeping prices down, not QE.
    ..._

    Do you understand what QE does?
  • DiggerUK
    DiggerUK Posts: 4,992 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    Thrugelmir wrote: »
    In the current circumstances how?
    Diluting a fiat currency, by putting more in circulation, will have the same effect as putting copper in gold coins did in times past.
    Debasement has always led to inflation in the currency, and inflation in prices. Law of economics.

    QE debases the currency. Simple as.
    ..._
  • DiggerUK
    DiggerUK Posts: 4,992 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    Do you understand what QE does?
    Yes.
    Buys time, sugar rushes equities, and gives banks oodles of cheap insurance to cover against the bad debts they are hiding.

    What's not to understand.
    ..._
  • Generali
    Generali Posts: 36,411 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    DiggerUK wrote: »
    Diluting a fiat currency, by putting more in circulation, will have the same effect as putting copper in gold coins did in times past.
    Debasement has always led to inflation in the currency, and inflation in prices. Law of economics.

    QE debases the currency. Simple as.
    ..._

    The money supply has been falling though.

    https://timetric.com/index/money-supply-m4-boe/
  • DiggerUK wrote: »
    Yes.
    Buys time, sugar rushes equities, and gives banks oodles of cheap insurance to cover against the bad debts they are hiding.

    What's not to understand.
    ..._

    Should I take it, with your flippant answer, that you don't understand what QE does?
  • HAMISH_MCTAVISH
    HAMISH_MCTAVISH Posts: 28,592 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    DiggerUK wrote: »
    Diluting a fiat currency, by putting more in circulation, will have the same effect as putting copper in gold coins did in times past.
    Debasement has always led to inflation in the currency, and inflation in prices. Law of economics.

    QE debases the currency. Simple as.
    ..._

    It's not that simple though.

    QE increases the narrow money supply (M0) to partially counteract a decrease in the broad money supply (M4).

    Total money in circulation has fallen markedly during the QE years, despite QE, as QE was never designed to increase the money supply but rather to partially offset the fall in the money supply.

    There are fewer units of GBP in existence today than there were before QE added 375bn to the money supply.

    QE has demonstrably not "diluted" the amount of money in existence.
    “The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.

    Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”

    -- President John F. Kennedy”
  • DiggerUK
    DiggerUK Posts: 4,992 Forumite
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    Generali wrote: »
    The money supply has been falling though.

    https://timetric.com/index/money-supply-m4-boe/
    That link shows a massive increase in money supply, not a reduction. Most of that money has not been put into circulation, just sitting in bank vaults.
    The propaganda may be saying QE is for lending out to business, reality is that nobody thought to tell the banks that. The credit crunch goes on.

    The historical evidence, that increasing money supply leads to inflation in both money and prices, is beyond question. Difference today is that the quantities of government stimulus are way beyond anything seen before. Once the loot sitting in the banks, plus QE to come, is dropped on the high street, the consequences will be enormous.

    For now, all we are seeing is a turbo boost to equities, and a 'stability' in bonds.
    ..._
  • Generali
    Generali Posts: 36,411 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    DiggerUK wrote: »
    That link shows a massive increase in money supply, not a reduction. Most of that money has not been put into circulation_

    I'm not sure how you draw that conclusion. The wiggly upward line from 1983-2007 becomes a downward wiggly line. That shows the money supply falling.

    If banks don't lend an increase in reserves then the money supply doesn't increase.
  • antrobus
    antrobus Posts: 17,386 Forumite
    DiggerUK wrote: »
    That link shows a massive increase in money supply, not a reduction. ...

    Que?

    The link clearly shows that the money supply has been fallen since 2010, and shows the year-on-year change at 0.00%, i.e. stable.
    DiggerUK wrote: »
    ...The historical evidence, that increasing money supply leads to inflation in both money and prices, is beyond question. ...

    But we don't have an increasing money supply at the moment.
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