We’d like to remind Forumites to please avoid political debate on the Forum.

This is to keep it a safe and useful space for MoneySaving discussions. Threads that are – or become – political in nature may be removed in line with the Forum’s rules. Thank you for your understanding.

Debate House Prices


In order to help keep the Forum a useful, safe and friendly place for our users, discussions around non MoneySaving matters are no longer permitted. This includes wider debates about general house prices, the economy and politics. As a result, we have taken the decision to keep this board permanently closed, but it remains viewable for users who may find some useful information in it. Thank you for your understanding.
📨 Have you signed up to the Forum's new Email Digest yet? Get a selection of trending threads sent straight to your inbox daily, weekly or monthly!

UK "one of the wealthiest countries on the planet & getting wealthier by the day"

HAMISH_MCTAVISH
HAMISH_MCTAVISH Posts: 28,592 Forumite
Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
edited 21 August 2013 at 8:26AM in Debate House Prices & the Economy
Estimates from the Office for National Statistics released last week suggest that net household worth increased by £410bn between 2011 and 2012, taking national net worth to an all-time record of £7.6 trillion.

Remember, this is net of liabilities, including now crippling levels of government borrowing, so the idea that the nation as a whole is sinking under a mountain of debt is pretty much a fiction.

These estimates are not without their controversies; can personalised number plates really be worth the £2.3bn the ONS attributes to them? Nor are they to deny that some households and companies are still dangerously over-extended. Those with the debt and those with the assets tend to be different groups. QE has therefore tended to benefit the already rich at the expense of the poor.

But we have to deal in aggregates here, and the fact is that despite the financial crisis, Britain is still one of the wealthiest countries on the planet and getting wealthier by the day.

So despite a few minor quirks in the stats, Britain continues to get wealthier.

Good to know.

Now onto why rising house prices are so good for the recovery.
This growing wealth helps to explain the paradox of why consumption is recovering even though household income continues to be squeezed.

Most research in recent decades shows that wealth is at least as important in determining consumption as income. If people feel wealthier, they save less and spend more.

It is also perhaps why the Government has switched its attentions to measures to boost the housing market.

Housing wealth is far the most important component of UK net worth.

By supporting asset prices, QE has therefore also supported consumption and therefore nascent economic recovery.

Interesting.

It notes something that many of us have been mentioning for some time, re the importance of a property market recovery to the wider economic recovery....
If the bond market correction has further to go and equities are reckoned to be fully valued, where do you stick your money?

That’s a question investors are increasingly answering by venturing back into property – houses, and, and for those who dare, commercial real estate.

The financial crash has conditioned us to think of this as an undesirable, even dangerous, development. Yet the economy is not going to recover without it
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/10253268/Recovering-economy-needs-investors-prepared-to-take-a-property-risk.html
“The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.

Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”

-- President John F. Kennedy”
«13456710

Comments

  • mystic_trev
    mystic_trev Posts: 5,434 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    Commercial Property is a much overlooked Investment. My REIT returns are up 28% this last year.:j
  • vivatifosi
    vivatifosi Posts: 18,746 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Mortgage-free Glee! PPI Party Pooper
    Commercial Property is a much overlooked Investment. My REIT returns are up 28% this last year.:j

    I agree. I've spent a reasonable amount of time looking at commercial property as part of being a pension trustee. I'm surprised that it isn't more widely considered. I would personally avoid a heavily retail portfolio though.
    Please stay safe in the sun and learn the A-E of melanoma: A = asymmetry, B = irregular borders, C= different colours, D= diameter, larger than 6mm, E = evolving, is your mole changing? Most moles are not cancerous, any doubts, please check next time you visit your GP.
  • michaels
    michaels Posts: 29,238 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
    Commercial Property is a much overlooked Investment. My REIT returns are up 28% this last year.:j


    Isn't it extremely volatile though? Surely if you buy at the wrong time it might be years/never before you get back what you invest?
    I think....
  • ILW
    ILW Posts: 18,333 Forumite
    Wouldn't investment into areas that produce jobs be better for the economy as a whole? Rather than just hoping for capital appreciation.
  • So despite a few minor quirks in the stats, Britain continues to get wealthier.

    Good to know.

    Now onto why rising house prices are so good for the recovery.



    Interesting.

    It notes something that many of us have been mentioning for some time, re the importance of a property market recovery to the wider economic recovery....


    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/10253268/Recovering-economy-needs-investors-prepared-to-take-a-property-risk.html

    i'm going to go out on a limb & guess that in a hypothetical poll of financially literate people, over half would find issue with a couple of the points in the article and almost all would disagree with the daft estate agent's extrapolations that you make from it.
    FACT.
  • CLAPTON
    CLAPTON Posts: 41,865 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    most of us don't spend our housing wealth; we spend our income
  • Carl31
    Carl31 Posts: 2,616 Forumite
    Ninth Anniversary 1,000 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    CLAPTON wrote: »
    most of us don't spend our housing wealth; we spend our income

    This

    People will only spend more if they can see and feel the wealth they have at their disposal. This is cash, not the value of a house

    You can have a house worth £1m, but if you only have £50 in your current account, you are not going to get far

    Cash will be determined by income, probably salary for most, not the worth of their house. Salary hasnt exactly increased lately
  • I think the Telegraph boy speak with forked tongue.

    He talks of £7.6 Trillion - which is the value of "Household and NPIHS" wealth only - therefore not including National Debt. NPISH, as we all know, is 'Non profit institutions serving households'.

    Look at the proper figures (as on the graph), total net wealth went up from £7.201 Trillion to £7.275 Trillion, and increase of barely 1% which is well below inflation. We're all getting poorer in real terms.

    To look at this yourself, Hamish, try here:

    http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/rel/cap-stock/the-national-balance-sheet/2013-estimates/tsd-national-balance-sheet--2013.html
  • mystic_trev
    mystic_trev Posts: 5,434 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    michaels wrote: »
    Isn't it extremely volatile though? Surely if you buy at the wrong time it might be years/never before you get back what you invest?

    Not really, most are underpinned by a pretty good NAV, and who's ever heard of Property going down ;) As with any good saving strategy it should all be about holding a wide range of Investments.For instance my BTL's are doing OK, but they're the worst performer of all my Investments these past 12 months.Who'd have thunked it!!!
  • Tancred
    Tancred Posts: 1,424 Forumite
    The phrase 'net worth' is meaningless as it includes assets that are not practically accessible, e.g. pension funds and property. Your pension fund is meant to buy you an income upon retirement - nothing more. And a house is for living in - you can't rip out a few bricks and sell them for cash!
This discussion has been closed.
Meet your Ambassadors

🚀 Getting Started

Hi new member!

Our Getting Started Guide will help you get the most out of the Forum

Categories

  • All Categories
  • 352.2K Banking & Borrowing
  • 253.6K Reduce Debt & Boost Income
  • 454.3K Spending & Discounts
  • 245.2K Work, Benefits & Business
  • 600.9K Mortgages, Homes & Bills
  • 177.5K Life & Family
  • 259K Travel & Transport
  • 1.5M Hobbies & Leisure
  • 16K Discuss & Feedback
  • 37.7K Read-Only Boards

Is this how you want to be seen?

We see you are using a default avatar. It takes only a few seconds to pick a picture.