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Guardian: 95% Mortgages "not a source of risk"

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Comments

  • HAMISH_MCTAVISH
    HAMISH_MCTAVISH Posts: 28,592 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    What if....say, I dunno....base rates fell to an all time low and therefore the differential between the costs for the banks and the profits fell dramatically.

    What do you think would happen to profits then?

    Thats the first of 2 questions.

    Try rephrasing it so that it makes sense.
    “The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.

    Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”

    -- President John F. Kennedy”
  • Graham_Devon
    Graham_Devon Posts: 58,560 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Try rephrasing it so that it makes sense.

    Just answer the bloody question.
  • HAMISH_MCTAVISH
    HAMISH_MCTAVISH Posts: 28,592 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    Just answer the bloody question.

    Seriously, rephrase it so that it makes sense.

    I have no idea what you're trying to ask.
    “The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.

    Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”

    -- President John F. Kennedy”
  • Graham_Devon
    Graham_Devon Posts: 58,560 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Seriously, rephrase it so that it makes sense.

    I have no idea what you're trying to ask.

    What would happen to your 3% profit margin if base rates fell to an all time low?
  • HAMISH_MCTAVISH
    HAMISH_MCTAVISH Posts: 28,592 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    What would happen to your 3% profit margin if base rates fell to an all time low?

    Sorry Graham, still not with you.

    The current margin is 3%, on a third of previous lending. The previous margin was 1%, but volumes were 3 times higher.

    Either way lending was then and is now staggeringly profitable.... And exceedingly low risk.
    “The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.

    Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”

    -- President John F. Kennedy”
  • Graham_Devon
    Graham_Devon Posts: 58,560 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Your avoidance speaks volumes and pretence that you can't understand the simple quesion of "what happens to your calcs if the base rate falls".

    I do like how you pretend to be utterly dense when you wish to avoid answering a question as you know it will totally undermine your previous point. Respect.
  • grizzly1911
    grizzly1911 Posts: 9,965 Forumite
    edited 12 March 2013 at 12:30PM
    Your avoidance speaks volumes and pretence that you can't understand the simple quesion of "what happens to your calcs if the base rate falls".

    I do like how you pretend to be utterly dense when you wish to avoid answering a question as you know it will totally undermine your previous point. Respect.
    I must admit to being abit lost.

    If they lend at a margin of 3% gross they will continue to maintain that margin over the cost of funds if they retain the current policy.

    2+3 = 5
    1 +3 = 4
    0+ 3 = 3

    Their profits come out of the 3% margin not the total rate.

    If they need to change margin then that would affect their profit.

    The cost of funds to them isn't linked soley to base rate as you have previously pointed out.
    "If you act like an illiterate man, your learning will never stop... Being uneducated, you have no fear of the future.".....

    "big business is parasitic, like a mosquito, whereas I prefer the lighter touch, like that of a butterfly. "A butterfly can suck honey from the flower without damaging it," "Arunachalam Muruganantham
  • HAMISH_MCTAVISH
    HAMISH_MCTAVISH Posts: 28,592 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    Your avoidance speaks volumes and pretence that you can't understand the simple quesion of "what happens to your calcs if the base rate falls".

    I do like how you pretend to be utterly dense when you wish to avoid answering a question as you know it will totally undermine your previous point. Respect.

    Graham, seriously, your question MAKES NO SENSE.

    I'm not the only one to mention it.
    What if....say, I dunno....base rates fell to an all time low

    OK, what if they do?
    and therefore the differential between the costs for the banks and the profits fell dramatically.

    How does the "differential between the costs and profits" fall if base rates do?

    What the heck is a differential between costs and profit?

    Profit is defined as the differential between costs and revenue minus overheads.

    Gross profit (or gross margin) is defined as the differential between provision cost and sales revenue on the sale of a product or service, excluding other overheads.
    What do you think would happen to profits then?

    You've gone from muddle to gobbledegook I'm afraid.

    Can you try rephrasing the question so that it makes sense.
    “The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.

    Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”

    -- President John F. Kennedy”
  • Graham_Devon
    Graham_Devon Posts: 58,560 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    I must admit to being abit lost.

    If they lend at a margin of 3% gross they will continue to maintain that margin over the cost of funds if they retain the current policy.

    2+3 = 5
    1 +3 = 4
    0+ 3 = 3

    If they lend at 5% and base rates fall (as happened pre 2007) at 3% profit and it's costing then 2% to borrow the money....

    If base rates fall and the interest rate on the mortgage is now 3.5% (instead of 5%) and the cost to the bank is still 2%, the profit level has fallen. While base rates have fallen and the interest the customer pays has fallen it doesn't neccesarily mean your costs of purchasing the money have fallen. (indeed, they can't fall to 0).

    This is what has happened to the likes of Bank of Ireland. Also what happened to Halifax.

    So the profit levels fall and they have to make that up via other products. Hamish seems to be stating they should just take the loss forever more.
  • HAMISH_MCTAVISH
    HAMISH_MCTAVISH Posts: 28,592 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    If they lend at 5% and base rates fall (as happened pre 2007) at 3% profit and it's costing then 2% to borrow the money....

    If base rates fall and the interest rate on the mortgage is now 3.5% (instead of 5%) and the cost to the bank is still 2%, the profit level has fallen. While base rates have fallen and the interest the customer pays has fallen it doesn't neccesarily mean your costs of purchasing the money have fallen. (indeed, they can't fall to 0).

    This is what has happened to the likes of Bank of Ireland. Also what happened to Halifax.

    So the profit levels fall and they have to make that up via other products. Hamish seems to be stating they should just take the loss forever more.

    Why couldn't you have asked that the first time?
    “The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.

    Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”

    -- President John F. Kennedy”
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