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dmg's Quiz for Tuesday!

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  • sarahlouise210
    sarahlouise210 Posts: 3,386 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture Combo Breaker
    If the real value is somewhere between 0 and £1000 then you would have to bid more than £1000 to ensure you win the bid (as it states you will only win if you bid more than the real value)
    I would bid £1001 ... what I do not get is how you could sell it for 150% of its "real" value ??
    I have had brain surgery - sorry if I am a little confused sometimes ;)
  • Alfie_E
    Alfie_E Posts: 1,293 Forumite
    dmg24 wrote: »
    My first answer: bid nothing. You are not going to win, but you are not going to lose anything.
    Assume the real value is evenly distributed between £0 and £1000. For any item you win, the distribution will be evenly between £0 and the bid price (less a penny). That makes an expected real value of half the bid price. As the sale price is 50% more than the real value, the expected sale price will be 75% of the bid price. The game is stacked against you. Therefore, your first answer was right.
    古池や蛙飛込む水の音
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