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Renewables: "talking 'bout my generation"

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  • Spies
    Spies Posts: 2,267 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
    How accurate is solcast? I've added my imaginary array across 2 roofs and averaged the azimuth as suggested, im using that data to replicate real generation against my house load.

    Do you think that would work out to be very accurate?
    4.29kWp Solar system, 45/55 South/West split in cloudy rainy Cumbria. 
  • QrizB
    QrizB Posts: 18,320 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Fourth Anniversary Photogenic Name Dropper
    edited 5 July 2021 at 4:17PM
    Do you mean this site?
    Putting my array in, it seems to make a reasonable guess most of the time ...
    • Weds 30: estimate 9.06 actual 8.69 diff -4%
    • Thurs 01: estimate 8.83 actual 8.81 diff 0% (!)
    • Fri 02: estimate 9.84 actual 9.67 diff -2%
    • Sat 03: estimate 7.47 actual 6.93 diff -7%
    • Sun 04: estimate 9.44 actual 10.21 diff +8%
    Personally if I had two arrays I'd model them independently then add up the totals, rather than trying to average the azimuth. 2kW facing E plus 2kW facing W will give quite different results when compared to 4kW facing S (or 4kW facing N, for that matter).
    N. Hampshire, he/him. Octopus Intelligent Go elec & Tracker gas / Vodafone BB / iD mobile. Ripple Kirk Hill member.
    2.72kWp PV facing SSW installed Jan 2012. 11 x 247w panels, 3.6kw inverter. 34 MWh generated, long-term average 2.6 Os.
    Not exactly back from my break, but dipping in and out of the forum.
    Ofgem cap table, Ofgem cap explainer. Economy 7 cap explainer. Gas vs E7 vs peak elec heating costs, Best kettle!
  • Spies
    Spies Posts: 2,267 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
    QrizB said:
    Do you mean this site?
    Putting my array in, it seems to make a reasonable guess most of the time ...
    • Weds 30: estimate 9.06 actual 8.69 diff -4%
    • Thurs 01: estimate 8.83 actual 8.81 diff 0% (!)
    • Fri 02: estimate 9.84 actual 9.67 diff -2%
    • Sat 03: estimate 7.47 actual 6.93 diff -7%
    • Sun 04: estimate 9.44 actual 10.21 diff +8%
    Personally if I had two arrays I'd model them independently then add up the totals, rather than trying to average the azimuth. 2kW facing E plus 2kW facing W will give quite different results when compared to 4kW facing S (or 4kW facing N, for that matter).
    I've taken your advice and done this, I feel like I will get lower peak, but PV for longer. Will see what it looks like tomorrow.

    I think a 4kwp system would be perfectly fine for my use!
    4.29kWp Solar system, 45/55 South/West split in cloudy rainy Cumbria. 
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